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21. Accelerating Export Growth in Zambia

Author:
Zambia Institute for Policy Analysis & Research (ZIPAR), Bernard Banda, and Joseph Simumba
Publication Date:
11-2013
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
Zambia Institute for Policy Analysis and Research (ZIPAR)
Abstract:
Export-transactions data for the period 1999-2011 in Zambia suggests that much of the growth in the value of exports has been driven by the contribution of new exporters than pre-existing exporters. The catastrophic growth among pre-existing exporters is explained by the high death rate that occurs within the first two years of exporting. Approximately between 50%- 60% of exporters will not survive beyond the year of export commencement. We discuss the potentially important policy implications of these rather surprising results relative to the sizeable evidence that shows it is the deepening of export values among existing exporters that drives much of the year-on-year growth in exports for many advanced and developing countries.
Topic:
Economic Growth, Exports, and Trade
Political Geography:
Africa and Zambia

22. The Birth, Death and Survival of Exports in Zambia 1999 - 2011

Author:
Bernard Banda and Joseph Simumba
Publication Date:
11-2013
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Zambia Institute for Policy Analysis and Research (ZIPAR)
Abstract:
This paper deals with the dynamics of Zambia’s export performance, analyzing the birth, death and persistence of exporting in various products and destinations. We use a framework that has recently proliferated in international trade to decompose the growth of Zambia’s exports into an “intensive” and “extensive” margin. Our results show that the extensive margin is the dominant driver of export growth in Zambia. We attribute the poor performance of the intensive margin to the low survival among exporters that hardly lasts for more than a year. Our findings imply that interventions to support new-exporting should be encouraged. But it also raises key questions on the sustainability of export growth in the long-run. Therefore, we propose that interventions should target improving the duration of survival among exporters and deepen their intensity of exporting once they are able to survive longer. In conclusion, there is urgent need to carefully understand the factors that are responsible for the high mortality among exporters within the first year of birth.
Topic:
Economics, International Trade and Finance, and Exports
Political Geography:
Africa and Zambia

23. Export Diversification and Infrastructure: The Cost of Utilities for Business

Author:
Margaret Sengwaketse
Publication Date:
06-2007
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
Botswana Institute for Development Policy Analysis
Abstract:
This policy brief focuses on the role of infrastructure and, in particular, the cost of utilities and their impact on export growth and diversification. The availability of and access to infrastructure s an essential prerequisite for the competitiveness of firms and countries in world markets. Inadequate access--in terms of cost and availability--to water, power supplies and telecommunications make it difficult for firms to operate efficiently.
Topic:
Infrastructure, Diversification, Exports, and Utilities
Political Geography:
Africa and Botswana

24. Trade Facilitation and Export Diversification in Botswana Part I: Customs and Border Procedures

Author:
Margaret Sengwaketse
Publication Date:
04-2007
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
Botswana Institute for Development Policy Analysis
Abstract:
This policy brief focuses on customs and border procedures in Botswana and their role on export diversification initiatives. Customs is at the centre of trade facilitation because it is where the majority of administrative and procedural requirements involved in the movement of goods are and where the highest potential gains in trade facilitation are to be found. The policy brief is based on the findings of the 2005 BIDPA and World Bank study entitled "Diversifying Botswana's Exports: An Overview."
Topic:
Economy, Borders, Diversification, Exports, Trade, and Customs
Political Geography:
Africa and Botswana

25. Export Diversification: Is it Really Necessary for Botswana?

Author:
Joel Sentsho
Publication Date:
12-2006
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
Botswana Institute for Development Policy Analysis
Abstract:
Even though Botswana gained independence as a very poor country in 1966, over the last three decades the country has risen to the level of a middle income developing country. The country’s GDP growth averaged about 9 percent over the fi rst three decades of independence and was thus comparable to that of the East Asian Tigers. Perhaps the only disadvantage with this impressive growth is that it was and continues to be fuelled by the primary sector, particularly diamond mining, although copper/nickel and beef were also important in the earlier years. As early as 1982, the Government of Botswana recognized that dependence on a narrow range of exports was undesirable and could have adverse long-term consequences, and that export diversifi cation was necessary. However, despite numerous policies aimed at achieving export diversifi cation, it appears that there has not been much success, and while sustained high rates of economic growth have been achieved this has remained dependent upon the primary export sector, mainly diamonds. This raises fundamental questions: Is export diversification really necessary for Botswana? Could Botswana not continue into the future and achieve the ideals of Vision 2016 through continued primary export growth? These questions will form the focus of this policy brief. The main objective of this Policy Brief is to explore the reasons why Botswana continues to pursue the export diversifi cation strategy in spite of its limited success over the years. The Policy Brief is based on the BIDPA-World Bank study entitled “Diversifying Botswana’s Exports: An Overview”, fi nalized in July 2005, which argues strongly that export diversifi cation still needs to be pursued by Botswana. This policy brief will summarise the reasons advanced by the study for the pursuit of export diversification and make recommendations on the way forward.
Topic:
Development, Economy, Diversification, and Exports
Political Geography:
Africa and Botswana