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161. Willing and (un)able. New Defence Policy Guidelines and Reorientation of the Bundeswehr

Author:
Ryszarda Formuszewicz and Marcin Terlikowski.
Publication Date:
07-2011
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
The Polish Institute of International Affairs
Abstract:
On 18 May, after two and a half months in office, defence Minister Thomas de Maizière presented updated cornerstones of the ongoing Bundeswehr reform, which has been rebranded as a “reorientation” (Neujustierung). On the same day, new Defence Policy Guidelines (DPG) were published, replacing the previous document of 2003. The core message directed to internal public opinion and to international partners both disappointed and displeased with Germany's troubled record in the security policy domain is laid out in the title of the DPG: “Safeguarding National Interests – Assuming International Responsibility – Shaping Security Together.” The DPG delivered a conceptual foundation for the armed forces' transformation process, which will now be based on defined security policy assumptions—a feature lacking in the original reform announced in 2010 under the pressure of a financial consolidation plan. The document is both an outcome of the deteriorating German stance on the international security stage and an opportunity to push Berlin on the road towards assuming a new, more visible role, as a security actor.
Topic:
Security, Defense Policy, and NATO
Political Geography:
Afghanistan, Europe, and Asia

162. South Sudan on the Eve of Independence. Assessing the Viability of the World's Newest State

Author:
Berenika Stefanska
Publication Date:
07-2011
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
The Polish Institute of International Affairs
Abstract:
On 9 July 2011, South Sudan will declare its independence from the Republic of Sudan. The independence comes after 22 years of civil war, which ended in 2005 thanks to an internationally brokered Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA). The treaty was signed by President Omar al-Bashir and the late John Garang, head of the rebel Sudan Peoples' Liberation Movement (SPLM). It included provisions for a referendum in January 2011 in the 10 southern states to determine their political future. People in the south voted overwhelmingly (98.7%) for independence. The result of the referendum was recognised by the northern ruling National Congress Party (NCP). Most countries already have stated their intention to recognise the Republic of South Sudan.
Topic:
Development, Natural Resources, Governance, and Self Determination
Political Geography:
Africa

163. The Egyptian Revolution and its Aftermath

Author:
Mohamed Elagati (ed)
Publication Date:
06-2011
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
The Polish Institute of International Affairs
Abstract:
There is a great similarity between the Egyptian and Tunisian political changes at the beginning of 2011. Not only were there similarities between the two economies—imbalanced development and investment indicators and increasing rates of inflation and unemployment—but also in a symbolic sense in the reaction of citizens to the harsh living conditions. The very same week that a young Tunisian man, Mohamed Bou Azeezi, set himself on fire to object to the municipality's confiscation of the goods he was selling, Egyptian Hamdy Al-Senoosi lighted himself on fire as well, objecting to the confiscation of his “tuctuc”. Many analysts point to differences in the political system: In Egypt, there was allowed some space for political practices, while in Tunisia there existed a very repressive environment to the extent that human rights activists called Zine El Abidine Ben Ali “The Arab Pinochet.” That repression led to the explosion of public outrage in Tunisia. The Tunisian system is a typical authoritarian one while the former Egyptian system was a model of “electoral authoritarianism,” allowing some space of political movement via a sort of “pluralism” (even if it was a facade), a somewhat independent judiciary (even if it was subject to political pressures), something akin to freedom of expression (even if owners of media channels could not cross certain lines) and seats in parliament for the opposition (even if the majority always went to the main party).
Topic:
Democratization and Regime Change
Political Geography:
Middle East, Arabia, Egypt, and Tunisia

164. Technology Transfer in the Economic Relations Between the People's Republic of China and the European Union

Author:
Artur Gradziuk
Publication Date:
01-2009
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
The Polish Institute of International Affairs
Abstract:
Economic relations between the European Union and the People's Republic of China, manifesting themselves, inter alia, in the transfer of technologies, are beneficial for both parties. From the point of view of China, import of technologically advanced goods from Europe and a subsequent opening to investment by European enterprises, involving technology transfers, have been one of the major factors in the development and modernisation of the economy. For the European Union access to the huge Chinese market has offered new, attractive opportunities in terms of business interests and exploitation of its competitive advantages in the high technologies sector.
Topic:
Science and Technology
Political Geography:
China and Europe

165. Business as Usual? Consequences of the Russian-Georgian Conflict

Author:
Ernest Wyciszkiewicz, Marcin Terlikowski, Bartosz Cichocki, Aleksandra Kreczmańska, Marek Madej, and Łukasz Kulesa(ed.)
Publication Date:
05-2009
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
The Polish Institute of International Affairs
Abstract:
The developments that followed the Russian-Georgian ceasefire agreement have verified some early predictions, whether these were alarmists forecasts of Russia's continued strong-arm expansion or expectations that a conflict-induced shock would mobilize the West to form a uniform front in order to contain Russia. For yet another time, though, it turned out that events originally seen as a breakthrough in international relations tended, with time, to assume a different—even if no less momentous—meaning.
Topic:
Conflict Resolution and War
Political Geography:
Russia

166. Trade Relations between the Russian Federation and Ukraine

Author:
Andrzej Szeptycki
Publication Date:
01-2008
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
The Polish Institute of International Affairs
Abstract:
Trade cooperation represents an important element of relations between the Russian Federation and Ukraine. The specificity and significance of this sector results from three different reasons. Firstly, both countries are each other's important, even if not the very top of the list, trade partners. Secondly, trade affairs were on numerous occasions the essence of the disputes between Russia and Ukraine, even if their background was both economic and political. Thirdly, trade relations between both states are of vital importance in the context of Russia's attempts at reunification of the post-Soviet area (CIS, CES) and the World Trade Organization membership aspirations of both Ukraine and Russia.
Topic:
International Trade and Finance
Political Geography:
Russia and Ukraine

167. Private Military Companies in the US Stabilization Operation in Iraq

Author:
Marcin Terlikowski
Publication Date:
08-2008
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
The Polish Institute of International Affairs
Abstract:
In the last two decades, the issue of private military companies and the privatization of the sphere of international security, have been addressed by political decision-makers in many countries, military experts, as well by the media and non-governmental organizations (NGOs). It seems that the controversies and sometimes very categorical opinions which have emerged concerning these issues have several sources. Firstly, the relatively sudden appearance of a new type of non-public actor in the military sphere, which traditionally was the exclusive activity of the state, was associated with consternation caused by negative connotations with historic, still pre-Westphalian international order where significant roles were played by private armies and other mercenary forces (e.g. condottieres, corsairs). Secondly, the activities of these types of firm have caused a number of problems. For example, to this day, not all the circumstances have been explained regarding the participation by several firms in conflicts in Africa and the Balkans in the 1990s, while the media are still reporting various irregularities and incidents involving such enterprises. Thirdly, this specific business has developed with enormous dynamism, continuously generating profits and extending both the geographical scope of activities and the profile of the services provided.
Topic:
Security and War
Political Geography:
United States, Iraq, and Arabia

168. Germany and the question of Turkey's membership in the European Union

Author:
Adam Szymański
Publication Date:
03-2007
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
The Polish Institute of International Affairs
Abstract:
Enlargement of the European Union is an incremental process which begins before formal accession of a given state and continues thereafter. One can distinguish four main areas of studies of this subject. These are: 1) the policy of candidates for EU membership; 2) the policy of member states towards EU enlargement; 3) European Union's enlargement policy; 4) the consequences of this process. In this study it is the second of these areas that will be analysed, with the focus on the policy followed by German governments and presidents on the question of the accession of Turkey.
Topic:
Government
Political Geography:
Turkey and Germany

169. Current Status of Debate in European States on the Constitutional Treaty

Author:
Adam Szymański, Leszek Jesień, Łukasz Adamski, Mateusz Gniazdowski, Emil Pietras, Rafał Tarnogórski, and Beata Wojna
Publication Date:
04-2007
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
The Polish Institute of International Affairs
Abstract:
This elaborate paper provokes a series of questions. Where are EU member states heading in their effort to reform the Community's institutions? Are there leaders of the pack among them, are there stragglers? Are the present considerations on the constitutional treaty linked to a vision of sorts? These are vital questions, to be answered probably during the forthcoming months and years, when watching the politicians' efforts to have their share in this realm of European integration.
Topic:
Regional Cooperation
Political Geography:
Europe

170. Elaboration, study and dissemination of international law. Documents of the International Law Commission and the UN Commission on International Trade Law

Publication Date:
09-2007
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
The Polish Institute of International Affairs
Abstract:
The strengthening of international law, as a comprehensive system regulating the most important spheres of international relations, takes place through its codification, progressive development and dissemination of knowledge about the law.
Topic:
International Law and Law
Political Geography:
Europe