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381. A New Era for Oil Prices

Author:
John V Mitchell
Publication Date:
08-2006
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Chatham House
Abstract:
Since 2003 the international oil market has been moving away from the previous 20-year equilibrium in which prices fluctuated around $25/bbl (in today's dollars). The single most important reason is that growing demand has eliminated the structural surplus of crude production capacity which had existed since the oil price shock of 1979-83.
Topic:
Energy Policy, International Trade and Finance, Markets, and Oil

382. Iran, its Neighbours and the Regional Crises

Publication Date:
08-2006
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Chatham House
Abstract:
The Middle East is bedevilled by crises. The war between Hizbullah and Israel, the conflict between Israelis and Palestinians, the instability in Iraq and the dispute over Iran's nuclear programme create a climate of deep unease. Iran is involved in all these crises, to a greater or lesser degree, and its regional role is significant and growing.
Topic:
Nuclear Weapons
Political Geography:
United States, Iraq, Europe, Iran, Middle East, Israel, and Asia

383. Advancing Economic Growth: Investing in Health

Author:
Rifat A Atun and Susan Fitzpatrick
Publication Date:
02-2006
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Chatham House
Abstract:
The traditional view of the relationship between economic growth and health had emphasized the impact of economic growth on improved health. However, from the beginning of the 'human capital' revolution in economics, there was a conceptual base that health is a core contributor to an individual's human capital, while health care is clearly a desired consumption good. Now, there is strong empirical evidence from both developing and developed countries which demonstrates the two-way relationship: that economic growth improves health but improved health also significantly enhances economic productivity and growth. In fact, it is not an exaggeration to say that no society has seen sustained economic progress when it has neglected investment in its people's education and health.
Topic:
Economics and Health
Political Geography:
Europe

384. Turkey and the EU - Four Scenarios: From Train Crash to Full Steam Ahead

Author:
Kirsty Hughes
Publication Date:
09-2006
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Chatham House
Abstract:
Security of natural gas supplies has resurfaced on the European energy agenda because of concerns about an anticipated rapid increase in dependence on imports from non-European suppliers–from one-third to two-thirds of demand–over the next 20 years. On a national basis, European import dependence is already an established fact: nine out of 33 European countries are more than 95% dependent on imports; only five are self-sufficient or net exporters.
Topic:
Diplomacy
Political Geography:
Europe, Turkey, and Middle East

385. The Importance of Politics to Nuclear New Build

Author:
Malcolm Grimston
Publication Date:
12-2005
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Chatham House
Abstract:
Though difficult to model as accurately as, say, the effects of oil price or the influence of climate change on decision-making in energy, the stance of the political establishment, locally, nationally and internationally, towards a major technical-scientific issue such as nuclear energy can be enormously important.
Topic:
Civil Society, Climate Change, Environment, Nuclear Weapons, Politics, and Science and Technology

386. Producer-Consumer Dialogue: What can energy ministers say to one another?

Author:
John Mitchell
Publication Date:
11-2005
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Chatham House
Abstract:
The development of exceptionally high oil prices since mid-2004 has attracted increased political attention. High level discussions may provide a political stimulus for further development of a producer-consumer dialogue additional to the international trade which unites billions of consumers with hundreds of oil producing enterprises.
Topic:
Energy Policy, Government, International Cooperation, Markets, and Oil

387. OPEC and Climate Change: Challenges and Opportunities

Author:
Jacqueline Karas and Tatiana Bosteels
Publication Date:
11-2005
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Chatham House
Abstract:
OPEC countries tend to be highly reliant on revenues from the export of fossil fuels and they have consistently argued, throughout the climate negotiations, that measures taken by countries to reduce greenhouse gas emissions would have a major impact on their economies. They have advocated financial compensation to offset any adverse impacts.
Topic:
Climate Change, Energy Policy, Environment, and Oil
Political Geography:
Middle East, Arabia, and Arab Countries

388. Angola - Drivers of Change: An Overview

Author:
Alex Vines, Nicholas Shaxson, and Lisa Rimli
Publication Date:
05-2005
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Chatham House
Abstract:
Angola has undergone dramatic economic and political changes since independence from Portugal in 1975, and continues to face severe challenges three decades later. An open democratic process has not yet been established, the economy faces deep-rooted structural imbalances, and the country's international relations have undergone many shifts and changes, so that it is currently again in a major transitional era.
Topic:
Civil Society, Democratization, Development, Government, and Poverty
Political Geography:
Africa

389. Reinvigorating European Elections: The Implications of Electing the European Commission

Author:
Julie Smith
Publication Date:
05-2004
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Chatham House
Abstract:
Europe's voters go to the polls in mid-June to elect 732 Members of the European Parliament. In the past European Parliament (EP) elections have been characterized by low turnout, with an emphasis on national rather than European issues. The evidence suggests that this year's elections will be little different despite the enlargement of the Union on 1 May.
Topic:
Civil Society, Government, Political Economy, and Politics
Political Geography:
Europe

390. EU Emissions Trading: Challenges and Implications of National Implementation

Author:
Jacqueline Karas and Fiona Mullins
Publication Date:
11-2003
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Chatham House
Abstract:
Emissions trading is central to the European Union's (EU) strategy to meet its climate change commitments under the Kyoto Protocol. However, implementing the EU Directive on emissions trading ('the Directive') is proving extremely challenging for the governments involved. In particular, governments have to prepare National Allocation Plans (NAPs) for distributing emissions allowances to industry within a very tight timeframe. More than 12,000 industrial installations across the EU and accession countries will participate in the trading system.
Topic:
Climate Change, Markets, and Treaties and Agreements
Political Geography:
Europe