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2. Robotisation, Employment and Industrial Growth Intertwined Across Global Value Chains
- Author:
- Mahdi Ghodsi, Oliver Reiter, Robert Stehrer, and Roman Stöllinger
- Publication Date:
- 04-2020
- Content Type:
- Working Paper
- Institution:
- The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (WIIW)
- Abstract:
- The global economy is currently experiencing a new wave of technological change involving new technologies, especially in the realm of artificial intelligence and robotics, but not limited to it. One key concern in this context is the consequences of these new technologies on the labour market. This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the direct and indirect effects of the rise of industrial robots and productivity via international value chains on various industrial indicators, including employment and real value added. The paper thereby adds to the existing empirical work on the relationship between technological change, employment and industrial growth by adding data on industrial robots while controlling for other technological advancements measured by total factor productivity (TFP). The results indicate that the overall impact of the installation of new robots did not statistically affect the growth of industrial employment during the period 2000–2014 significantly, while the overall impact on the real value added growth of industries in the world was positive and significant. The methodology also allows for a differentiation between the impact of robots across various industries and countries based on two different perspectives of source and destination industries across global value chains.
- Topic:
- Economics, Science and Technology, Digital Economy, Economic growth, Industry, and Robotics
- Political Geography:
- Global Focus
3. Implications of Foreign Direct Investment, Capital Formation and its Structure for Global Value Chains
- Author:
- Amat Adarov and Robert Stehrer
- Publication Date:
- 11-2019
- Content Type:
- Working Paper
- Institution:
- The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (WIIW)
- Abstract:
- In the age of globalisation, international trade and foreign direct investment (FDI) have become integral elements of cross-country production sharing. In this paper we empirically assess the impact of FDI, as well as capital dynamics and structure, on the formation of global value chains (GVC) and trade in value added at country and sectoral levels based on a database constructed for a sample of European countries over the period 2000-2014. The analysis reveals that inward FDI is especially conducive to the formation of backward linkages while outward FDI facilitates forward GVC participation, especially in high-tech manufacturing sectors. A particularly robust influence of FDI and capital accumulation on GVC integration is identified in the textile and clothing industry. While capital accumulation in general intensifies GVC linkages for most sectors, ICT capital appears to be especially instrumental for backward integration of electrical and transportation equipment sectors.
- Topic:
- Globalization, International Trade and Finance, Foreign Direct Investment, Trade, and Global Value Chains
- Political Geography:
- United States, Japan, and Europe
4. The Future Development of EU Exports in a Global Context
- Author:
- Robert Stehrer, Roman Stöllinger, and Sandra Leitner
- Publication Date:
- 11-2017
- Content Type:
- Working Paper
- Institution:
- Center for Social and Economic Research - CASE
- Abstract:
- Global trade patterns are changing rapidly. Emerging economies are increasing their share of exports overall and intensifying competition in nearly all sectors. Using a gravity-based approach, this report examines the future profile of European Union (EU) world market shares at the aggregate and sectoral level. It further points towards the changing patterns of trade within the EU. Based on the results, some conclusions on EU industrial policy are drawn.
- Topic:
- Industrial Policy, International Trade and Finance, Global Markets, Economic growth, and Trade
- Political Geography:
- Europe, Global Focus, and European Union