Author: Jonathan Portes / Topic: Trade

Author:: Jonathan Portes, Sarah Hall, and Stephen Hunsaker
Publication Date:: 06-2024
Content Type:: Special Report
Institution:: UK in a Changing Europe, King's College London
Abstract:: UK trade has, since the 2016 referendum, become a hotly debated subject. Which is not to say that it is simply a Brexit story; the uncertainties currently shaping UK trade are far from unique to the UK. Supply chain disruption associated with international conflicts, and a geo-political environment that is generally less conducive to trade, are impacting trade globally. In the immediate years following Brexit, trade data was complicated by the Covid-19 pandemic and a significant rise in global energy prices following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. 2023 data released by the Office for National Statistics provides one of the first opportunities to assess the UK’s post-Brexit trade performance in detail. This report uses these data to set out the key recent trends in UK trade, outline where uncertainties lie and what the policy implications are.
Topic:: Brexit, Trade, COVID-19, Energy, and Russia-Ukraine War
Political Geography:: United Kingdom and Europe

Author:: Anand Menon, Jonathan Portes, Alan Wager, Sarah Overton, and Joël Reland
Publication Date:: 10-2021
Content Type:: Special Report
Institution:: UK in a Changing Europe, King's College London
Abstract:: The world is emerging from the COVID pandemic, with society and the economy opening up again. The immediate impact has been widespread supply and labour shortages, and rising inflation. But for the UK, the issue is not simply that of post-pandemic disruption, but also the early impacts of the decision to leave the European Union, replacing our membership of the Single Market and customs union with a minimal free trade deal. In what follows, we explore the extent to which current problems in the UK economy are down solely to post pandemic disruption or also the result of the altered terms of trade and labour mobility with the EU.
Topic:: Politics, Labor Issues, European Union, Brexit, Trade, COVID-19, and Society
Political Geography:: United Kingdom and Europe

Author:: Anand Menon, David Bailey, Tim Bale, Catherine Barnard, Matthew Bevington, Meredith Crowley, Sarah Hall, Katy Hayward, Martin Heneghan, Carmen Hubbard, Lisa James, Hussein Kassim, Ben Kienzle, Nicola McEwen, Jonathan Portes, Ivan Rajic, Meg Russell, Jill Rutter, Thomas Sampson, Maddy Thimont-Jack, Alan Wager, and Dan Wincott
Publication Date:: 09-2020
Content Type:: Special Report
Institution:: UK in a Changing Europe, King's College London
Abstract:: We now have a Withdrawal Agreement, which means ‘no deal’ means ‘no trade deal’. Yet a no deal outcome would still have profound implications for the UK. As we analyse in this report, from trade to connectivity to foreign policy to cooperation in policing, a failure to strike an agreement with the EU will impact on us in numerous ways.
Topic:: International Relations, Politics, European Union, Constitution, Economy, Trade, and Society
Political Geography:: United Kingdom and Europe

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