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2. Climate Adaptation and Job Creation: Addressing the Climate and Livelihoods Crises in India
- Author:
- Anjana Thampi
- Publication Date:
- 11-2023
- Content Type:
- Working Paper
- Institution:
- Political Economy Research Institute (PERI), University of Massachusetts Amherst
- Abstract:
- India was seventh in a list of the ten most affected countries due to extreme weather events in 2019. A sharp increase in the frequency and intensity of such events in the country by the end of the twenty-first century is projected. At the same time, relatively high economic growth rates have not resulted in secure and sustainable employment opportunities in the Indian economy. The loss of millions of jobs due to climate hazards in the country is also projected. In this context, I raise two key questions. First, are livelihoods in certain regions within India more vulnerable to climatic changes? The priority regions for adaptation planning and intervention are identified by constructing a livelihoods vulnerability index. Second, can institutional climate adaptation activities simultaneously address the climate and livelihoods crises in the country? The job creation estimates through five representative adaptation activities support the need for increased spending in a climate adaptation programme. Spending 1.5 percent of the GDP on a climate adaptation programme could create jobs to the extent of 1.3 percent of the labour force as of 2017-18. Investing 3 percent of the GDP on a combined climate adaptation and mitigation programme over the same amount spent instead on a fossil fuel-based programme would lead to net employment gains of around 2 percent of the labour force. This paper argues that investing in climate adaptation activities can secure livelihoods while improving mechanisms to build resilience to climate hazards. Such activities, if planned and implemented in accordance with the geographies, vulnerabilities, and socio-economic patterns of each region, could be transformational.
- Topic:
- Climate Change, Economic Growth, Job Creation, Adaptation, and Livelihoods
- Political Geography:
- South Asia and India
3. Rural Vulnerability, Employment and Social Safety Programmes in Egypt: How Far Could State Initiatives Go?
- Author:
- Hussein Suleiman
- Publication Date:
- 04-2023
- Content Type:
- Working Paper
- Institution:
- IEMed/EuroMeSCo
- Abstract:
- This paper aims to assess the Haya Karima initiative, launched by the Egyptian government in 2019, which targets rural communities to achieve inclusive development and eliminate poverty. The paper examines the goals, interventions, and scale of the initiative and uses official data to provide indicators of its operations. Additionally, the paper analyzes rural vulnerability and poverty in Egypt, with a focus on employment opportunities and quality. Hussein Suleiman argues that while the initiative has been scaled up significantly, it has been inadequately planned and disproportionately focuses on infrastructure interventions that are unlikely to eliminate poverty. The paper proposes institutional reform as a necessary route to inclusive development and job creation in rural and urban Egypt, and recommends policy changes to address vulnerability and poverty in the country.
- Topic:
- Development, Poverty, Reform, Job Creation, and Economic Inclusion
- Political Geography:
- Middle East, North Africa, and Egypt
4. Profile and determinants of lived poverty in Benin
- Author:
- Romaric Samson and Richard Houessou
- Publication Date:
- 10-2022
- Content Type:
- Policy Brief
- Institution:
- Afrobarometer
- Abstract:
- The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, launched in 2015, outlines global aspirations and priorities through the end of this decade. Prominently, the first two Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) call for ending poverty “in all its forms everywhere” and for “zero hunger” (United Nations, 2021a). The proportion of the world’s population living in extreme poverty decreased from 36% in 1990 to 16% in 2010 and to 10% in 2015, but the COVID-19 pandemic is likely to have reversed this trend (Sumner, Hoy, & Ortiz-Juarez, 2020). Benin has had one of the fastest-growing economies in sub-Saharan Africa in recent years (Adegoke, 2019), with per-capita gross domestic product (GDP) growth averaging 3.6% between 2017 and 2019 (World Bank, 2020). But the most recent household survey led by the Institut National de la Statistique et de l’Analyse Economique (2018) estimated that 38.5% of citizens still live in poverty. Are GDP gains translating into better lives for ordinary Beninese? According to Afrobarometer survey findings, “lived poverty” – the experience of going without basic life necessities – has worsened significantly over the past decade in Benin. More than three out of four Beninese face moderate or high levels of lived poverty. Many of these citizens continue to have limited access to the electricity grid, water and sanitation services, and other essential development infrastructure. Most importantly, our analysis shows they often lack the education and employment needed to break the poverty cycle.
- Topic:
- Education, Poverty, Infrastructure, Inequality, and Job Creation
- Political Geography:
- Africa and Benin
5. A Model Comprehensive MSME Policy for Indian States
- Author:
- Richard M. Rossow
- Publication Date:
- 11-2022
- Content Type:
- Special Report
- Institution:
- Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)
- Abstract:
- Small businesses are the job-creating engines of any healthy economy. Having a supportive policy environment can help high-potential businesses accelerate. Creating such an environment is a shared responsibility of both the central government and India’s 28 states. Many state governments in India have piecemeal policies and programs to support micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs). About one-third of India’s states have worked to craft multifaceted and supportive policies and practices to encourage MSME growth. This paper reviews the ideas already enacted in different Indian states, as well as in national and subnational governments around the world. Developing a single comprehensive MSME policy is an effective approach for a state-level government to consider. It allows small firms to find policy incentives and programs in a single place, and perhaps most importantly, it allows a state to directly consider a range of intertwined incentives that can work together. This will maximize the positive impact to small firms that are poised for growth. Facilitating the growth of MSMEs will have a much wider impact on India’s job growth overall. The large multinational manufacturers that India hopes to lure to invest through programs like Make in India require a diverse and efficient network of suppliers. Supporting MSME growth can create a multiplier effect—driving new investment and employment generation by larger firms. The central government has affirmed a 25 percent target of gross domestic product (GDP) for manufacturing, up from around 14 percent today. This white paper provides leading international examples in the promotion of small businesses, while also enumerating best practices from Indian states’ MSME policies. The final section lays out the 30 elements commonly utilized by Indian states to offer targeted assistance to MSMEs as a roadmap for other states that want to provide best-in-class policy interventions.
- Topic:
- Development, Economics, Business, and Job Creation
- Political Geography:
- India and Asia
6. Assessing the Job Creation Potential of the Social Economy in the MENA Region
- Author:
- Philippe Adair, Vladimir Hlasny, Kareem Sharabi Rosshandler, and Mariem Omrani
- Publication Date:
- 07-2022
- Content Type:
- Policy Brief
- Institution:
- IEMed/EuroMeSCo
- Abstract:
- The role of the Social and Solidarity Economy (SSE) in the process of job creation and formalisation of the informal economy has been understudied. This policy study aims to examine the issue of widespread youth employment in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region and the mismatch between labour supply and demand to promote the creation of start-up businesses to formalise these enterprises. To do so, the authors of this paper analyse this issue in the context of six countries, three in North Africa – Egypt, Morocco and Tunisia – and three in the Middle East – Jordan, Lebanon and Palestine. They do so by using figures of informal employment, a database compilation and interviews with experts on this subject. The study comprises four different sections that tackle different aspects of the job creation potential of the social economy. The first chapter compiles microdata from four Labour Market Panel Surveys and Economic Research Forum COVID-19 MENA Monitor Surveys to assess employment statuses by age group and gender. The second part identifies the hybrid components of the SSE including for-profit and not-for-profit entities. The third section uses extensive desk research, including data collection and in-depth interviews with key informants to come up with an overview of the major funding sources of the SSEs in the examined countries and the obstacles they face when accessing credit and tailored financial services. The last chapter analyses the formalisation policies that aim to tackle the informality of the economy. Overall, the study argues that formalising informality benefits employment by bringing to light activities performed at home or without premises. It provides evidence of the potential of the SSE in enhancing job creation in specific fields and providing citizens with dignified conditions that allow their better performance. In order to untap such potential, this policy study includes extensive recommendations aimed at different stakeholders.
- Topic:
- Labor Issues, Job Creation, Informal Economy, and Social Economy
- Political Geography:
- Middle East and North Africa
7. How Central Asians Pushed Chinese Firms to Localize
- Author:
- Dirk Van Der Kley and Niva Yau
- Publication Date:
- 10-2021
- Content Type:
- Working Paper
- Institution:
- Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
- Abstract:
- There has been a sea change in China’s economic involvement in Central Asia. Large-scale transport and electricity projects funded by Chinese government loans have dried up. Hydrocarbon exports to China continue, but they are not the focus of most new projects. Instead, there are a growing number of industrial projects that seek to make value-added products that can be exported. These projects are increasingly staffed by Central Asians who receive technical training from Chinese firms. This change has been primarily driven by Central Asian states. The region’s governments have long pushed for industrial capacity building, including the upskilling of local workers. In addition, debt concerns in Kyrgyzstan in particular have made Chinese loans less attractive and less prevalent. This trend has coincided with Chinese policy banks’ embrace of more conservative lending policies globally for infrastructure projects. Chinese firms have begun adapting to these demands. They have steadily increased their proportions of local hires by training Central Asian workers both onsite and in China to address skills shortages. They have tried to engage local communities to earn a social license for their overseas operations. The Chinese government is now following suit. It is developing more formal cooperation agreements on industrialization and upskilling in addition to pre-existing, ad-hoc arrangements by individual companies. So far, the outcomes have been mixed. Many Chinese firms in Central Asia are employing more locals. Yet the more closely integrated these Chinese firms become with the region’s economies, the more they must deal with, or be co-opted by, localized corruption and political fights. Newly available polling data shows that public sentiments toward China are becoming more negative. Chinese companies are flexibly adapting to this environment of heightened expectations in a variety of ways. The views that outside observers in Washington and elsewhere harbor of China’s infrastructure investments through the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) in Central Asia are outdated and do not reflect how much Chinese firms and eventually the Chinese government have adapted to meet local needs. Any Western-proposed alternative to the BRI needs to take these considerations into account.
- Topic:
- Economics, Business, Industry, and Job Creation
- Political Geography:
- China, Central Asia, and Asia
8. The Indian Startup Ecosystem and Policy Implications
- Author:
- Hyoungmin Han, Jeong Gon Kim, Sunghee Lee, and Jonghun Pek
- Publication Date:
- 06-2021
- Content Type:
- Policy Brief
- Institution:
- Korea Institute for International Economic Policy (KIEP)
- Abstract:
- A startup refers to a company with ideas and innovative technologies, which have a short period of experience. Recently, startups are leading the fourth industrial technological innovation and affecting job creation and industrial productivity growth, so that its economic importance is increasing. In particular, India is emerging as a startup powerhouse based on its fast-growing economy and relatively cost-efficient excellent talent pool. Also, global investment towards the Indian startup market is increasing. While the number of Korean companies entering the Indian startup market is increasing, only a few have made stable inroads into the market. Based on quantitative data, literature analysis, corporate case analysis, surveys, and in-depth interviews, we objectively identified the Indian startup ecosystem and drew policy implications to increase the accessibility of Korean firms to the Indian market.
- Topic:
- Science and Technology, Investment, Innovation, Industry, Job Creation, and Startup
- Political Geography:
- South Asia, India, and South Korea
9. The socio-economic impact of cultivated meat in the UK
- Author:
- Oxford Economics
- Publication Date:
- 09-2021
- Content Type:
- Working Paper
- Institution:
- Oxford Economics
- Abstract:
- A report on the potential socio-economic benefits of the cultivated meat sector in conjunction with leading UK producer Ivy Farm Technologies. The cultivated meat industry is in its infancy, both in the UK and in most countries around the world. But it clearly presents significant opportunities for entrepreneurs, investors, and other commercial partners to exploit the global potential of a move away from conventional farming towards more sustainable methods. However, the UK industry is currently not able to take advantage of the commercial opportunities while it awaits regulatory approval. This report has sought to demonstrate that there is a strong economic rationale for allowing UK firms to move from research and development into production. As the report highlights, the UK cultivated meat market has the potential to grow into an industry with a total gross value added contribution to UK GDP of over £2 billion in 2030. The detailed analysis of the value of economic activity generated, the number of highly-skilled jobs created and supported, and the taxation revenue (up to £523 million) generated shows the industry has the potential to become an important sectoral driver of growth during the next decade.
- Topic:
- Economics, Job Creation, Socioeconomics, and Business Management
- Political Geography:
- United Kingdom and Europe
10. Tracking Employment Trajectories during the Covid-19 Pandemic: Evidence from Indian Panel Data
- Author:
- Rosa Abraham, Amit Basole, and Surbhi Kesar
- Publication Date:
- 01-2021
- Content Type:
- Working Paper
- Institution:
- Centre for Sustainable Employment, Azim Premji University
- Abstract:
- Using the CMIE’s Consumer Pyramids Household Survey, we track a panel of households prior to the lockdown (in December 2019), during the lockdown (in April 2020) and afterwards (in August 2020) to investigate the employment and income effects of the Covid-19 pandemic and its associated containment measures. We identify four distinct employment experiences during the pandemic for those who were in the workforce just prior to the lockdown: no loss of employment (“No effect”), loss of employment followed by recovery (“Recovery”), loss of employment with no recovery (“No recovery”), and a delayed loss of employment (“Delayed job loss”). Overall, 54% of individuals experienced no job loss, while 30% lost work in April but recovered by August. 12% had not recovered employment as of August 2020. We analyse how these trajectories vary across different social and economic characteristics to quantify contractions and recovery in the labour market and the extent to which the vulnerabilities vary across different social groups, employment arrangements, and industries. We find that women were substantially more likely to lose employment as well as less likely to recover employment. Job loss was also more severe for lower castes as compared to intermediate and upper castes and for daily wage workers as compared to regular wage workers. Younger workers were particularly vulnerable to job loss compared to older workers. Having lost employment in April, younger workers were also less likely to recover employment in August. Finally, for those who were employed in both December 2019 and August 2020, we examine the changes in employment arrangements. We find a much greater frequency of transitions from wage employment to self-employment, more than that in the seasonally comparable period last year (Dec 2018 to Aug 2019). Our results call for urgent additional fiscal measures to counteract these effects.
- Topic:
- Economics, Labor Issues, Employment, Unemployment, Pandemic, Job Creation, and Consumerism
- Political Geography:
- India