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1171. Nuclear War in South Asia

Author:
Matthew McKinzie, Zia Mian, M.V. Ramana, and A.H. Nayyar
Publication Date:
06-2002
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
Foreign Policy In Focus
Abstract:
There is a history of war in South Asia. India and Pakistan fought in 1948, 1965, 1971, and 1999. There is good evidence that in no case was there the expectation of a war on the scale and of the kind that ensued. Rather, war followed misadventure, driven by profound errors of policy, political and military judgement, and public sentiment. Nuclear weapons do nothing to lessen such possibilities. There is even reason to believe they may make them worse in South Asia. One lesson of the 1999 Kargil war is that Pakistan saw its newly acquired nuclear weapons as a shield from behind which it could fuel and stoke the conflict in Kashmir, safe from any possible Indian retaliation. During this war, nuclear threats were made publicly by leaders on both sides. It took international intervention to stop the slide to a larger, more destructive war.
Topic:
Defense Policy, Nuclear Weapons, and War
Political Geography:
Pakistan, South Asia, India, and Kashmir

1172. Terrorism and Asymmetric Conflict in Southwest Asia

Author:
Shahram Chubin and Jerold D. Green
Publication Date:
06-2002
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
The Geneva Centre for Security Policy
Abstract:
At previous RAND-GCSP workshops in 1999 and 2001, participants examined, respectively, possible roles for NATO in the Middle East and the challenges to Turkey as both a European and Middle Eastern actor. The 2002 workshop, scheduled for June 23-25, 2002, was originally intended to take a broad look at issues relating to Southwest Asia, where Europe and the United States have long grappled with a range of strategic and political differences. However, in light of the terrorist attacks on the United States on September 11, 2001 and the subsequent U.S.-led military campaign in Afghanistan, the organisers decided to refocus the workshop around the specific theme of terrorism and asymmetric conflict in Southwest Asia. The workshop focused on both the global and regional aspects of the terrorist threat.
Topic:
Security, Defense Policy, and Terrorism
Political Geography:
United States, Europe, Middle East, and Asia

1173. Security Factors and Responses in the Emerging Mediterranean Strategic Setting

Author:
Roberto Aliboni
Publication Date:
07-2002
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Istituto Affari Internazionali
Abstract:
During the Cold War, threats coming from across the Mediterranean Sea to Europe and the Western world in general were strictly related to the East-West confrontation. National security was not endangered by possible attacks from the Mediterranean or Middle Eastern countries as such but by the East-West escalation South-South conflict could be able to give way to. In this sense, the Arab-Israeli conflict was a central threat to Western security. What was frightening was not the military power of the regional countries but their alliance with the Soviet Union and the possibility of what at that time was called horizontal escalation (as opposed to East-West direct vertical escalation).
Topic:
Security and Defense Policy
Political Geography:
Europe, Israel, Soviet Union, and North Africa

1174. Security Governance

Author:
Fred Tanner
Publication Date:
06-2002
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Istituto Affari Internazionali
Abstract:
The common language on security governance remains a mid-to long-term objective for the Euro-Med community. But, the conceptualisation of security governance is a possible way to problematise security sector reform and democratic control of armed forces in the Euro-Med context. The EU as a civilian power had in the past little authority to deal with politico-military matters. This is now changing with the operationalisation of ESDP. From a EU perspective there are three motivations to promote security governance in the Mediterranean.
Topic:
Security, Defense Policy, Democratization, and International Law

1175. The Current Status of the Principle Prohibiting the Use of Force and Legal Justifications of the Use of Force

Author:
Natalino Ronzitti
Publication Date:
03-2002
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Istituto Affari Internazionali
Abstract:
The UN Charter contains both the principle prohibiting the use of force and exceptions to it. These rules concern individual States. Collective security falls within the competence of the United Nations, and individual States, as a rule, cannot act in the name of collective security.
Topic:
Security, Defense Policy, and International Law
Political Geography:
United States

1176. The European Convention and Defence

Author:
Marta Martinelli, Gerrard Quille, Claire Piana, and Jamie Woodbridge
Publication Date:
12-2002
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
International Security Information Service
Abstract:
The Convention WorkingGroup on Defence, chairedby Michel Barnier submitted itsfinal report on December 102002. This article reviews themajor debates within the groupand how they reflect memberstates' positions, in particular inrelation to the recent Franco-German Initiative.
Topic:
Security and Defense Policy
Political Geography:
Europe and Germany

1177. The Greek Presidency's Programme for the military aspects of ESDP

Author:
Claire Piana, Jamie Woodbridge, and Dermot Doyle
Publication Date:
09-2002
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
International Security Information Service
Abstract:
Following the Edinburgh agreement of 1992,Denmark waived its right to act as Presidency in all cases involving the elaboration and implementation of decisions having defence implications. Thus Greece now acts on behalf of Denmark on such issues Speaking to the Foreign Affairs Committee of the European Parliament (EP) on 11September, the Defence Minister Yiannos Papantoniou introduced the Greek Programme for the military aspects of ESDP.
Topic:
Security and Defense Policy
Political Geography:
Europe, Greece, and Denmark

1178. Putting ESDP to the test: The first crisis management exercise

Author:
Catriona Gourlay and Jamie Woodbridge
Publication Date:
07-2002
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
International Security Information Service
Abstract:
From 22-28 May the EU carried out its first exercise 'CME 02' to test the EU's ability to take decisions on the use of its military and civilian instruments in a crisis situation. While the evaluation process will only be complete by the end of July, it is already widely acknowledged that the exercise revealed that the EU's procedures are broadly adequate, but there is room for improvement particularly in relation to civil-military cooperation.
Topic:
Security and Defense Policy
Political Geography:
Europe

1179. The EU's progress in mainstreaming conflict prevention

Author:
Catriona Gourlay, Jamie Woodbridge, and Lorraine Mullally
Publication Date:
05-2002
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
International Security Information Service
Abstract:
At the Seville European Council in June 2002 the Spanish Presidency will present a report on progress made in the implementation of the EU Programme for the Prevention of Violent Conflicts agreed in Göteborg in June 2001. A key element of the EU Programme is its call for the development of mechanisms to mainstream conflict prevention, i.e. to ensure that all EU policies consistently take into consideration their impact on conflict and are tailored to support peace-building processes. This article provides a preliminary review of actions taken to this end.
Topic:
Security and Defense Policy
Political Geography:
Europe

1180. Putting ESDP to the test: The EU's Police Mission to Bosnia Herzegovina

Author:
Jamie Woodbridge, Lorraine Mullally, and Sibylle Bauer
Publication Date:
03-2002
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
International Security Information Service
Abstract:
The General Affairs Council meeting on 18-19 February announced the EU's readiness to deploy an EU police mission (EUPM) to Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH) to take over from the UN International Police Task Force (IPTF) in January 2003. Tasked with establishing sustainable policing structures this first EU-led operation will be an important milestone in the operationalisation of the EU's European Security and Defence Policy (ESDP).
Topic:
Security and Defense Policy
Political Geography:
Europe, Bosnia, and Herzegovina