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331. The Anti-Circumvention Instrument: Another Roadblock on the Investment Development Path?

Author:
Weihuan Zhou and Victor Crochet
Publication Date:
01-2023
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Centre for Trade and Economic Integration, The Graduate Institute (IHEID)
Abstract:
Companies from emerging economies, and China in particular, have started internationalizing their production operations. In doing so, they are following the same path as that taken by American, European and East Asian corporations before them, by setting up factories in third countries to serve their export markets from closer locations and produce more efficiently. Thus, it is no longer only developed countries’ multinationals which are moving their operations to developing countries, but emerging market companies that are increasingly engaging in production abroad. This phenomenon is having beneficial effects in countries where these companies invest and might help them start their own industrialization process. Yet, it has attracted the ire of developed countries, in particular the European Union. They are now targeting these downstream production plants abroad by using the so-called anti-circumvention instrument, resulting in trade defence duties imposed on the parent companies being extended to their foreign subsidiaries. This application of the anti-circumvention instrument departs from its historic rationale and might hinder the development of countries in need of foreign investment. Therefore, affected governments should consider taking international legal action to bring developed countries to the negotiating table to put a halt to this abuse of the anti-circumvention instrument.
Topic:
Development, Industrial Policy, Investment, Trade, Internationalization, Production, Emerging Economies, and Anti-Circumvention Instrument
Political Geography:
China, Europe, Global Focus, and United States of America

332. Foreign Linkages, Innovation & Productivity: Evidence from Enterprise Surveys

Author:
Anmol Kaur Grewal
Publication Date:
09-2023
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Centre for Trade and Economic Integration, The Graduate Institute (IHEID)
Abstract:
This paper estimates a three-stage structural model of how foreign linkages affect innovation which in turn affects firm productivity. Using harmonized firm-level data from the World Bank Enterprise Surveys, I construct a panel dataset for 47 developing countries spanning 2003 to 2019. I distinguish between four types of foreign linkages (exports, imports, inward foreign direct investment (FDI) and the use of foreign-licensed technology), and two types of innovation (product innovation and process innovation). To mitigate concerns regarding sample selection and endogeneity biases, I employ advanced panel data methods. In the first stage, I find that being an exporter, using foreign inputs, and using foreign-licensed technology makes firms more likely to invest in R&D, relative to other firms. I also find evidence of sample selection bias which is corrected by using a two-step Heckman selection model. In the second stage, I find that while increases in the R&D intensity increase the probability of product innovation, they have no statistically significant effect on the likelihood of process innovation. In the third stage, I find that product or process innovation is associated with increases in firm-level productivity. These results remain robust across alternative measures of innovation and firm productivity.
Topic:
Development, Foreign Direct Investment, Exports, Innovation, Imports, Productivity, and Foreign Linkages
Political Geography:
Global Focus

333. ECOWAS and the management of political transitions in Mali, Guinea and Burkina Faso: Adopting a three-dimensional approach for stability and sustainable democracy and development

Author:
Mubin Adewumi Bakare
Publication Date:
11-2023
Content Type:
Journal Article
Journal:
Conflict Trends
Institution:
The African Centre for the Constructive Resolution of Disputes (ACCORD)
Abstract:
According to the Secretary General of the United Nations (UN), Antonio Guterres, 2021 was a year marked by ‘an epidemic’ of coups.1 The Economist noted that 2021 saw more coups than the previous five years combined.2 Scrutinising the data further reveals that the West African region experienced the largest number of military coups, both successful and failed, during 2021 and 2022. There were four successful coups d’état in Mali, Guinea and Burkina Faso, and failed coup attempts and mutiny in Niger and Guinea Bissau between March 2021 to January 2022. This democratic reversal portends political instability, and its attendant economic consequences for the ECOWAS are concerning considering the developmental agenda of the region.3 The focus of this article is examining measures for strengthening democratic transitions in Mali, Guinea and Burkina Faso by analysing responses at the national, regional and international levels to ensure rapid restoration of constitutional order. It begins by reviewing the experience of the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) in supporting democratic transition in the region, while stressing and recognising the interlinkages between defence, development and peacebuilding in laying the foundation for democratisation, peace and sustainable development. The article will advance certain policy prescriptions that entail long-term investments by the international community, and regional and civil society actors in West Africa in the areas of defence, development and peacebuilding, as part of a comprehensive support towards successful democratic transition in the affected countries.
Topic:
Development, Politics, Democracy, Transition, and ECOWAS
Political Geography:
Africa, Mali, Guinea, and Burkina Faso

334. Three frontlines in Africa's resource conflicts

Author:
Peter Albrecht and Marie Ladekjær Gravesen
Publication Date:
09-2023
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
Danish Institute for International Studies (DIIS)
Abstract:
Conflicts over land and resources are nothing new on the African continent. However, as global attention has turned towards environmental issues – as well as Africa’s rich renewable energy sources and precious minerals – the nature of these conflicts has changed. Research shows three frontlines that investors, humanitarian actors, and policymakers need to be aware of as they invest or engage in green initiatives in Africa.
Topic:
Agriculture, Climate Change, Development, Migration, Water, Food, Non State Actors, Governance, Inequality, and Land Rights
Political Geography:
Africa

335. Development co-operation between Scylla and Charybdis

Author:
Lars Engberg-Pedersen
Publication Date:
10-2023
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Danish Institute for International Studies (DIIS)
Abstract:
This DIIS Working Paper seeks to provide a basis for understanding aid management today internationally and in a Danish context. An evaluation of Danish aid management is underway and to help clarifying issues to address and to avoid, the paper discusses changes of international development co-operation in general and of Danish development policies in particular over the last 20 years. These contextual and policy changes constitute a decisive framework for the management of development co-operation. The paper also deals with recent international discussions of aid management as well as with pragmatic approaches sometimes employed in Danish development co-operation. While seeking to help identifying useful issues for the evaluation, the paper concludes that aid management often has to negotiate different and sometimes contradicting purposes. This makes the choice of criteria for assessing aid management very important, but also very difficult. Since the results of development co-operation in terms of poverty reduction, the promotion of human rights, the adaptation to climate change, etc. depend on how concrete development activities are managed, this discussion is important as criteria and indicators not only assess results, but also push activities in particular directions.
Topic:
Development, International Cooperation, Foreign Aid, and Donors
Political Geography:
Europe, Denmark, and Global Focus

336. Employment effects of foreign agricultural investments – expectations unfulfilled?

Author:
Helle Munk Ravnborg, Bernard Bashaasha, Rikke Broegaard, Michael Byaruhanga, Evelyne Lazaro, Festo Maro, Khamaldin Mutabazi, and David Tumusiime
Publication Date:
10-2023
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
Danish Institute for International Studies (DIIS)
Abstract:
Since the hike in food prices in 2007-2008, national as well as international policy attention has been strongly focused on promoting foreign agricultural investments, e.g. in sub-Saharan Africa. While in some cases such a focus may be justified, policies which favour foreign investments may work to the detriment of locally-owned family farms which represent a strong – and in many cases stronger – source of rural employment generation than foreign agricultural investments.
Topic:
Agriculture, Development, Employment, Food Security, and Investment
Political Geography:
Europe and Denmark

337. Tropical rainforests and global warming

Author:
Mike Speirs
Publication Date:
11-2023
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Danish Institute for International Studies (DIIS)
Abstract:
Disappearing tropical forests are high on the global climate change and biodiversity agendas. A survey of progress towards setting up a ‘results-based payments’ (rewards) scheme known as REDD+ explores international funding for forests, with evidence from Bolivia, Ghana and Indonesia. The need to tackle the drivers of deforestation is emphasised, including land use changes for crop cultivation and livestock. The roles of indigenous people and local communities in ensuring equitable and effective natural resource management and forest conservation are underlined in the survey.
Topic:
Agriculture, Climate Change, Development, Environment, Natural Resources, Food, Investment, Land Rights, and Carbon Emissions
Political Geography:
Indonesia, Ghana, Bolivia, and Global Focus

338. Managing Africa's resources equitably demands accountable states

Author:
Peter Albrecht, Marie Ladekjær Gravesen, Frank Agyei, Kwesi Aning, and Richard Asante
Publication Date:
11-2023
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
Danish Institute for International Studies (DIIS)
Abstract:
Africa’s vast natural resources present both opportunities and challenges. Securing their sustainable extraction depends on African states’ ability and willingness to enforce equitable legislation and policies. This does not take away the huge — and historical — responsibility of external actors from Asia, Europe and North America. In 2019, Ghana banned rosewood extraction following years of over-logging that had decimated these slow-growing trees. Nevertheless, illegal harvesting and export of rosewood have continued since the ban. Research shows that the Ghanaian state has been unable or unwilling to deal with the violations because some of its representatives profit from these illegal activities.
Topic:
Agriculture, Climate Change, Development, Water, Food, Governance, Accountability, Land Rights, Equity, and Resource Management
Political Geography:
Africa

339. Will Africa be part of the ‘golden decade’ of sustainable finance? Insights from GSSS bonds

Author:
Abel Gwaindepi and Krige Siebrits
Publication Date:
11-2023
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Danish Institute for International Studies (DIIS)
Abstract:
In the current 'decade of action' for Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and climate action, the battleground for success or failure lies in lower-income countries. Equally evident now is that this battle is also won or lost at the doorsteps of development and climate finance and its insertion into the current international financial system. This DIIS Working Paper explores Green Social Sustainability and Sustainability-linked (GSSS) bonds in Africa. These have emerged as main private sector financing tools with recent explosive growth in European markets. Evaluating their current performance, as this study does, is crucial for policy debates and development interventions. It serves as a critical yardstick to gauge the effectiveness of private sector financing in general for advancing SDGs and climate action in developing country contexts. The progress of GSSS bonds in mobilising private sector finance in Africa allows a re-evaluation of which private sector instruments and approaches can thrive in developing country contexts, as their success in Europe does not guarantee success in emerging and low-income markets. Given that GSSS bonds are designated for specific green, social, and sustainable projects, the study's results underscore the need to shift the conversation beyond the novelty of these instruments toward a bottom-up approach that starts with pre-feasibility financing necessary for project pipelines. This approach allows the focus to be rightly put on pipelines of projects followed by deciding suitable public or private financing mechanisms.
Topic:
Climate Change, Development, Environment, Finance, Sustainable Development Goals, and Sustainability
Political Geography:
Africa

340. Models of Measuring Cooperation: Brazil and Mexico

Author:
José Alejandro Sebastian Barrios Díaz
Publication Date:
05-2023
Content Type:
Journal Article
Journal:
Contexto Internacional
Institution:
Institute of International Relations, Pontifical Catholic University of Rio de Janeiro
Abstract:
Over the past few decades, South-South cooperation has grown in terms of actors, volume, geographic reach, instruments, and modalities, but, statistics on this type of cooperation have been incomplete and fragmented. The technical, political, and institutional challenges in measuring South-South cooperation are emphasised by countries like Brazil and Mexico, chosen as cases to be analysed in the text. The article explores the experiences in measuring international cooperation provided by Brazil and Mexico, starting with the characterization of the two national trajectories in the quantification and the modalities that determine the process, and analyses the main similarities and differences presented between the cases. The analysis of the countries studied in this article evidence the different institutional designs of international cooperation and the establishment of measurement models elaborated by governments based on their own realities of international cooperation, indicating, therefore, that the process of measuring international cooperation is not only a statistical issue, but above all, a political one. Seen in these terms, South-South cooperation measurement exercises have provided more knowledge about how cooperation activities are organized and their relation to global development agendas, and have also consolidated the transparency of public expenditure.cooperation and development; South-South cooperation; public expenditure; Brazil; Mexico; measurement.
Topic:
Development, International Cooperation, Global South, Public Spending, and Measurement
Political Geography:
Brazil, South America, Latin America, and Mexico