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34511. From Dawn to Daylight: Future Challenges for Burma

Author:
Bradley O. Babson
Publication Date:
05-2002
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
Center for Strategic and International Studies
Abstract:
The release of Noble Peace Laureate Daw Aung San Suu Kyi from house arrest in Rangoon has been greeted with a mixture of relief and apprehension. While skeptics line the gallery, her National League for Democracy (NLD) Party and the ruling State Peace and Development Council (SPDC) have embarked on a phase of dialogue that promises to move from confidence building to policy, and importantly, ethnic minority leaders have been assured that they will participate in this next phase of talks.
Topic:
Security and Nuclear Weapons
Political Geography:
United States, Israel, and Asia

34512. Will Hu Really Govern China?

Author:
Jing-dong Yuan and Phillip C. Saunders
Publication Date:
05-2002
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
Center for Strategic and International Studies
Abstract:
Chinese Vice President Hu Jintao's first visit to the United States this week has put the spotlight on the upcoming Chinese leadership transition. But will the changeover be a true transfer of power?
Topic:
Security, Democratization, and Development
Political Geography:
Israel and Asia

34513. ASEAN Regional Forum Needs the Defense Ministers

Author:
Ron Huisken
Publication Date:
04-2002
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
Center for Strategic and International Studies
Abstract:
For most states in the Asia Pacific, multilateralism is the third leg of the stool supporting regional security. For them, the other legs are a dependable U.S. commitment to the region (anchored by its bilateral alliances) and the development of robust bilateral relationships throughout the region.
Topic:
Security and Nuclear Weapons
Political Geography:
United States, Israel, and Asia

34514. Pyongyang Gets a Second Chance

Author:
Brent Won-ki Choi and Ray Yep
Publication Date:
03-2002
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
Center for Strategic and International Studies
Abstract:
The "Dear Leader" is flirting with Russia these days. For the past few weeks, there have been reports of various engagements between high officials of Pyongyang and Moscow. They range from trifles like Chairman Kim Jong-il's joining Russian officials to celebrate Russia's Maslenitsa festival to seemingly endless dialogue on economic cooperation. In addition to friendly gestures such as inviting a Russian orchestra to the North's prestigious Mansudae Assembly Hall to perform, Konstantin Pulikovski, representative of Russia's Far East, came to discuss a series of economic cooperation projects with the North. Some reports even suggest Chairman Kim is making a habit of visiting Russian Ambassador Andrei Karlov once a week. The latest highlight is the North's proposal that Russia establish a joint nuclear reactor, which Moscow said it would "consider."
Topic:
Security, Democratization, and Development
Political Geography:
Israel, Asia, and Moscow

34515. Living with the Megapower - Implications of the War on Terrorism Part 3

Publication Date:
11-2002
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Chatham House
Abstract:
The third consultation in the 'Living with the Megapower: Implications of the war on terrorism' series explored the role of religion and ideology in the causes behind the events of 11 September 2001 and the subsequent reaction to these events. The importance of public opinion and the impact of the media were also examined in the day-long session. Were old theses like Samuel P Huntington's 'clash of civilizations' now more relevant or do we need new concepts and approaches to better understand the growing importance of religion and ideology in the language, culture and politics of the current 'war on terrorism'?
Topic:
Security, Religion, and Terrorism
Political Geography:
Middle East

34516. US-German relations and their impact on NATO transformation

Author:
Michaela C. Hertkorn
Publication Date:
10-2002
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Columbia International Affairs Online
Abstract:
What might be the impact of a worsened German-US relationship on NATO transformation, which foremost concerns NATO enlargement and the streamlining of NATO capabilities? This piece discusses the problems in current US-German relations, and how they may play out within the European theatre itself. The argument shall be made, that the isolation of Germany in NATO and EU has been evolving for months. The paper will highlight the particular challenges Germany faces as key regional player to help transform NATO, given further enlargement, which will – in all likelihood - enhance the number of US friendly member countries.
Topic:
NATO and International Organization
Political Geography:
United States and Europe

34517. Did German-US relations change from pre-Bush and Bush to post-9/11-Bush? (A Revised Look)

Author:
Michaela C. Hertkorn
Publication Date:
09-2002
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Columbia International Affairs Online
Abstract:
“There is the perception that, while France is a complicated country, but not posing a problem, Germany is not a complicated case, but can pose a problem.” ”America and Germany will never drift apart. We have never been closer. Any tensions are simply due to 'Reibungsverluste durch Nähe'. It is a relationship of grown up kids with their parents.
Topic:
NATO and International Organization
Political Geography:
United States and Europe

34518. Did German-US relations change from pre-Bush and Bush to post-9/11-Bush?

Author:
Michaela C. Hertkorn
Publication Date:
07-2002
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Columbia International Affairs Online
Abstract:
“There is the perception that, while France is a complicated country, but not posing a problem, Germany is not a complicated case, but can pose a problem.” ”America and Germany will never drift apart. We have never been closer. Any tensions are simply due to 'Reibungsverluste durch Nähe'. It is a relationship of grown up kids with their parents.
Topic:
NATO and International Organization
Political Geography:
America, Europe, and Middle East

34519. From Pre-Bush to Bush to Post-Sep-11-Bush: Changes In Transatlantic Relations —The Particular Case of Germany

Author:
Michaela Hertkorn
Publication Date:
04-2002
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Columbia International Affairs Online
Abstract:
"There is the perception that, while France is a complicated country, but not posing a problem, Germany is not a complicated case, but can pose a problem." "America and Germany will never drift apart. We have never been closer. Any tensions are simply due to 'Reibungsverluste durch Nähe'. It is a relationship of grown up kids with their parents.
Topic:
Foreign Policy, Diplomacy, and International Trade and Finance
Political Geography:
United States and Europe

34520. Composite Indexes of Leading, Coincident, and Lagging Indicators: December 2002

Publication Date:
12-2002
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
The Conference Board
Abstract:
The Conference Board announced today that the U.S. leading index increased by 0.1 percent, the coincident index held steady, and the lagging index decreased 0.3 percent in December.After declining from May through September 2002, the leading index has now improved for three straight months, suggesting a stronger economic recovery in the first half of 2003.The negative contribution from unemployment insurance claims in December was more than offset by the positive contributions from housing permits, average manufacturing workweek, and consumer expectations. The leading index has almost regained its level in May 2002, or when it started to decline.The coincident index, a measure of current economic activity, was flat in each of the last three months of 2002. But it\'s still 0.8 percent above its cyclical low reached in November 2001.
Topic:
Economics and Political Economy
Political Geography:
United States