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3311. Exchange Rate Economics

Author:
John Williamson
Publication Date:
02-2008
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Peterson Institute for International Economics
Abstract:
The paper summarizes the current theory of how a floating exchange rate is determined, dividing the subject into what determines the steady state and what determines the transition to steady state. The inadequacies of this model are examined, and an alternative “behavioral” model, which recognizes that the foreign exchange market is populated by both fundamentalists and chartists is presented. It is argued that the main importance of understanding the foreign exchange market for development strategy is to permit a correct appraisal of the dangers of Dutch disease. Empirically it seems that from the standpoint of promoting development it is preferable to have a mildly undervalued rate. The paper concludes by examining implications for exchange rate regimes.
Topic:
Development, Economics, Foreign Exchange, and International Trade and Finance

3312. "Fear"and Offshoring: The Scope and Potential Impact of Imports and Exports of Services

Author:
Lori G. Kletzer and J . Bradford Jensen
Publication Date:
01-2008
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Peterson Institute for International Economics
Abstract:
While the uproar over offshoring has largely subsided since the 2004 presidential campaign, there continues to be concern and anxiety regarding the potential impact of offshoring in general and services offshoring in particular. With the economy softening and potentially headed for a recession in the midst of the current presidential campaign, worries about jobs and globalization seem likely to reemerge.
Topic:
Development, Economics, and International Trade and Finance
Political Geography:
United States

3313. Strengthening Trade Adjustment Assistance

Author:
Howard F. Rosen
Publication Date:
01-2008
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Peterson Institute for International Economics
Abstract:
In 1962, when the United States was running a trade surplus, imports were barely noticeable, and manufacturing employment was increasing, Congress made a commitment to assist American workers, firms, and communities hurt by international trade, by establishing the Trade Adjustment Assistance (TAA) program. This commitment was based on an appreciation that despite their large benefits, widely distributed throughout the economy, international trade and investment could also be associated with severe economic dislocations.
Topic:
Development, Economics, and International Trade and Finance
Political Geography:
United States

3314. Fine in 2009 (Not So Great in 2008)

Author:
John H. Makin
Publication Date:
01-2008
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research
Abstract:
The good news about the problems in the financial sector and the larger economy in the United States emanating from the persistent drop in house prices is that they will eventually end, and the underlying resiliency of the U.S. economy will reemerge. The bad news about these problems is that they are going to continue for some time and get worse before they improve. Efforts to address them so far have been ineffective because they have been aimed at containing a subprime credit crisis, not at containing a rapidly spreading primecredit, solvency crisis that is leading the U.S. economy into recession.
Topic:
Economics, International Trade and Finance, and Markets
Political Geography:
United States

3315. The New Deal Jobs Myth

Author:
Amity Shlaes
Publication Date:
01-2008
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research
Abstract:
Democratic presidential candidates are invoking the New Deal as a model for addressing infrastructure, economic, and employment problems in the United States. But a careful look at New Deal spending suggests, in the words of Amity Shlaes, “not how much the public works achieved . . . [but] how little.” Advocates for new federal government spending on highways, buildings, and roads should carefully weigh the need against the damage that comes from projects and jobs created for political reasons.
Topic:
Economics, Human Welfare, and Political Economy
Political Geography:
United States

3316. The Klein Doctrine: The Rise of Disaster Polemics

Author:
Johan Norberg
Publication Date:
05-2008
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
The Cato Institute
Abstract:
Naomi Klein's The Shock Doctrine ;purports to be an exposé of the ruthless nature of free-market capitalism and its chief recent exponent, Milton Friedman. Klein argues that capitalism goes hand in hand with dictatorship and brutality and that dictators and other unscrupulous political figures take advantage of "shocks"-catastrophes real or manufactured-to consolidate their power and implement unpopular market reforms. Klein cites Chile under General Augusto Pinochet, Britain under Margaret Thatcher, China during the Tiananmen Square crisis, and the ongoing war in Iraq as examples of this process.
Topic:
Democratization, Economics, and Markets
Political Geography:
China and Chile

3317. Asset Bubbles and Their Consequences

Author:
Gerald P. O'Driscoll Jr.
Publication Date:
05-2008
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
The Cato Institute
Abstract:
In the past, the federal government has introduced moral hazard in the banking system through deposit insurance. Banks underpriced risk because of the federal guarantee that backed deposits. After banking crises in the 1980s and 1990s, deposit insurance was put on a sound basis and that source of moral hazard was mitigated. In its place, monetary policy has become a source of moral hazard. In acting to counter the economic effects of declining asset prices, the Federal Reserve has come to be viewed as underwriting risky investments. Policy pronouncements by senior Fed officials have reinforced that perception. These actions and pronouncements are mutually reinforcing and destructive to the operation of financial markets. The current financial crisis began in the subprime housing market and then spread throughout credit markets. The new Fed policy fueled the housing boom. Refusing to accept responsibility for the housing bubble, the Fed's recent actions will likely fuel a new asset bubble. The cumulative effects of recent monetary policy undermine the case for free markets.
Topic:
Economics, Government, and Markets
Political Geography:
United States

3318. FASB: Making Financial Statements Mysterious

Author:
T.J. Rodgers
Publication Date:
08-2008
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
The Cato Institute
Abstract:
Since the passage of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act in 2002, the Financial Accounting Standards Board has passed rules that it promises will make corporate accounting more transparent. In fact, its revised Generally Accepted Accounting Principles have made it difficult for investors — or even CEOs — to understand a company's financial report.
Topic:
Economics, Government, and Markets
Political Geography:
United States

3319. Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae: An Exit Strategy for the Taxpayer

Author:
Arnold Kling
Publication Date:
09-2008
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
The Cato Institute
Abstract:
The Fannie Mae-Freddie Mac crisis may have been the most avoidable financial crisis in history. Economists have long complained that the risks posed by the government-sponsored enterprises were large relative to any social benefits.
Topic:
Economics, Government, and Financial Crisis
Political Geography:
United States

3320. Rails Won't Save America

Author:
Randal O'Toole
Publication Date:
10-2008
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
The Cato Institute
Abstract:
Rising gas prices and concerns about greenhouse gases have stimulated calls to build more rail transit lines in urban areas, increase subsidies to Amtrak, and construct a large-scale intercity high-speed rail system. These megaprojects will cost hundreds of billions of dollars, but they won't save energy or significantly reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
Topic:
Development, Economics, and Government
Political Geography:
United States