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202. New Voices in Grand Strategy
- Author:
- Richard Fontaine and et al
- Publication Date:
- 04-2019
- Content Type:
- Special Report
- Institution:
- Center for a New American Security
- Abstract:
- In June 2008, the Center for a New American Security published a compendium of essays to grapple with the central questions of American grand strategy.1 The volume compiled the views of leading senior strategists from across the political spectrum and from both academia and the policy community. Four years later, CNAS embarked on a similar venture, presenting the views of four more expert thinkers
- Topic:
- International Affairs and Geopolitics
- Political Geography:
- Global Focus
203. Intelligence Oversight Priorities for the 116th Congress
- Author:
- Carrie Cordero
- Publication Date:
- 04-2019
- Content Type:
- Special Report
- Institution:
- Center for a New American Security
- Abstract:
- Congressional oversight is essential for providing accountability for the activities of the intelligence services.1 Effective oversight by the congressional intelligence committees – by an independent branch of government – is needed in order to monitor the adequacy of legal authorities, the lawfulness of activities carried out under those authorities, and the responsible application of public funds for intelligence activities. As elected representatives entrusted with providing an outside check on activities that are conducted out of the public eye, members of the committees serve a critical function in facilitating accountability, transparency, and confidence in intelligence activities conducted under law.
- Topic:
- International Relations and International Affairs
- Political Geography:
- Global Focus
204. Maintaining America’s Coercive Economic Strength
- Author:
- Paula J. Dobriansky
- Publication Date:
- 01-2019
- Content Type:
- Special Report
- Institution:
- Center for a New American Security
- Abstract:
- U.S. foreign policy officials have embraced economic sanctions as a tool of choice for American foreign policy. Decisionmakers have deployed sanctions against strategic adversaries and national security threats ranging from Russia to non-state actors such as terrorist groups, drug cartels, and businesspeople who engage in corrupt activities. The appeal to both policy leaders and key constituent groups of the potent economic impacts of sanctions in several recent high-profile cases, particularly those of Iran, Russia, North Korea, and Venezuela, combined with broad bipartisan support for aggressive use of U.S. sanctions, suggests that the United States will favor this policy tool and be an active practitioner in the years ahead
- Topic:
- International Security and International Affairs
- Political Geography:
- Russia
205. The Influence of Commercial Space Capabilities on Deterrence
- Author:
- John Klein
- Publication Date:
- 01-2019
- Content Type:
- Special Report
- Institution:
- Center for a New American Security
- Abstract:
- Recent U.S. space policy initiatives underscore the far-reaching benefits of commercial space activities. The White House revived the National Space Council to foster closer coordination, cooperation, and exchange of technology and information among the civil, national security, and commercial space sectors.1 National Space Policy Directive 2 seeks to promote economic growth by streamlining U.S. regulations on the commercial use of space.2 While the defense community generally appreciates the value of services and capabilities derived from the commercial space sector—including space launch, Earth observation, and satellite communications—it often overlooks one area of strategic importance: deterrence.
- Topic:
- International Cooperation, International Affairs, and Cybersecurity
- Political Geography:
- Global Focus
206. Contested Spaces A Renewed Approach to Southeast Asia
- Author:
- Patrick M. Cronin
- Publication Date:
- 01-2019
- Content Type:
- Special Report
- Institution:
- Center for a New American Security
- Abstract:
- As the competition between the United States and China to shape the course of the 21st century intensifies, Southeast Asia has become a contested space. A region where geopolitical orientations remain fluid, Southeast Asia lies at the front line of Beijing’s expanding diplomatic influence, economic leverage, and military capability. At stake is whether countries across the region can retain their economic sovereignty and freedom of decision, and whether governance in the region will broadly trend toward greater freedom and openness, or the opposite.
- Topic:
- International Political Economy and International Affairs
- Political Geography:
- Global Focus
207. Negotiating With North Korea
- Author:
- Patrick M. Cronin and Kristine Lee
- Publication Date:
- 01-2019
- Content Type:
- Special Report
- Institution:
- Center for a New American Security
- Abstract:
- fter a year of historic summits and negotiations, North Korea’s future remains mired in uncertainty. Kim Jong Un, in the lead-up his second summit with President Trump, has an opportunity to cast aside his country’s pariah status and jump headlong into economic development, but the diplomatic window is narrowing. Protracted stalemate may be unavoidable, but over the course of the next year or two the negotiating process is likely to be binary and head in one of two directions: Either sufficient progress is made to justify continuing the recent rapprochement, or frustrations over the lack of progress will effectively terminate the United States’ diplomatic opening with the Kim regime.
- Topic:
- International Political Economy and International Affairs
- Political Geography:
- North Korea
208. Understanding China's AI Strategy
- Author:
- Gregory Allen
- Publication Date:
- 02-2019
- Content Type:
- Special Report
- Institution:
- Center for a New American Security
- Abstract:
- n the second half of 2018, I traveled to China on four separate trips to attend major diplomatic, military, and private-sector conferences focusing on Artificial Intelligence (AI). During these trips, I participated in a series of meetings with high-ranking Chinese officials in China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs, leaders of China’s military AI research organizations, government think tank experts, and corporate executives at Chinese AI companies. From these discussions – as well as my ongoing work analyzing China’s AI industry, policies, reports, and programs – I have arrived at a number of key judgments about Chinese leadership’s views, strategies, and prospects for AI as it applies to China’s economy and national security. Of course, China’s leadership in this area is a large population with diversity in its views, and any effort to generalize is inherently presumptuous and essentially guaranteed to oversimplify. However, the distance is large between prevailing views in American commentary on China’s AI efforts and what I have come to believe are the facts. I hope by stating my takeaways directly, this report will advance the assessment of this issue and be of benefit to the wider U.S. policymaking community.
- Topic:
- International Political Economy and International Affairs
- Political Geography:
- Global Focus
209. A Realistic Path for Progress on Iran
- Author:
- Eric M. Brewer and Elisa Catalano Ewers
- Publication Date:
- 01-2019
- Content Type:
- Special Report
- Institution:
- Center for a New American Security
- Abstract:
- The Trump administration has adopted an aggressive Iran strategy. The United States seeks to achieve—via the application of maximum pressure—nothing short of a fundamental change to policies that have defined the Islamic Republic for decades, if not since its founding, and have been a constant source of tension with the United States. Although the U.S. decision to withdraw from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) and re-impose sanctions on Iran has garnered most of the attention, the administration also is leveraging diplomatic, law enforcement, informational, and other tools to apply pressure across a range of issues: Iran’s missile program, support for terrorism, regional influence, and human rights record
- Topic:
- International Relations and International Affairs
- Political Geography:
- Iran
210. Financial Networks of Mass Destruction
- Author:
- Elizabeth Rosenberg and Neil Bhatiya
- Publication Date:
- 01-2019
- Content Type:
- Special Report
- Institution:
- Center for a New American Security
- Abstract:
- The international community has long prioritized reducing the risk of weapons of mass destruction proliferation, whether from state actors such as North Korea and Iran, or from non-state actors, particularly criminals and transnational terrorist networks. Despite this concern, however, there remains a significant blind spot: the efforts to prevent the financing of WMD proliferation are only in their infancy. The legal framework to prevent the financing of proliferation is weak, and implementation across the world is spotty. These weaknesses derive from one overwhelming fact: The international community has not prioritized financial controls to fight proliferation. Very few countries have demonstrated the political will to put further emphasis on this threat to international peace and security.
- Topic:
- International Political Economy and International Affairs
- Political Geography:
- Global Focus