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6671. From Dawn to Daylight: Future Challenges for Burma

Author:
Bradley O. Babson
Publication Date:
05-2002
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
Center for Strategic and International Studies
Abstract:
The release of Noble Peace Laureate Daw Aung San Suu Kyi from house arrest in Rangoon has been greeted with a mixture of relief and apprehension. While skeptics line the gallery, her National League for Democracy (NLD) Party and the ruling State Peace and Development Council (SPDC) have embarked on a phase of dialogue that promises to move from confidence building to policy, and importantly, ethnic minority leaders have been assured that they will participate in this next phase of talks.
Topic:
Security and Nuclear Weapons
Political Geography:
United States, Israel, and Asia

6672. ASEAN Regional Forum Needs the Defense Ministers

Author:
Ron Huisken
Publication Date:
04-2002
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
Center for Strategic and International Studies
Abstract:
For most states in the Asia Pacific, multilateralism is the third leg of the stool supporting regional security. For them, the other legs are a dependable U.S. commitment to the region (anchored by its bilateral alliances) and the development of robust bilateral relationships throughout the region.
Topic:
Security and Nuclear Weapons
Political Geography:
United States, Israel, and Asia

6673. US-German relations and their impact on NATO transformation

Author:
Michaela C. Hertkorn
Publication Date:
10-2002
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Columbia International Affairs Online
Abstract:
What might be the impact of a worsened German-US relationship on NATO transformation, which foremost concerns NATO enlargement and the streamlining of NATO capabilities? This piece discusses the problems in current US-German relations, and how they may play out within the European theatre itself. The argument shall be made, that the isolation of Germany in NATO and EU has been evolving for months. The paper will highlight the particular challenges Germany faces as key regional player to help transform NATO, given further enlargement, which will – in all likelihood - enhance the number of US friendly member countries.
Topic:
NATO and International Organization
Political Geography:
United States and Europe

6674. Did German-US relations change from pre-Bush and Bush to post-9/11-Bush? (A Revised Look)

Author:
Michaela C. Hertkorn
Publication Date:
09-2002
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Columbia International Affairs Online
Abstract:
“There is the perception that, while France is a complicated country, but not posing a problem, Germany is not a complicated case, but can pose a problem.” ”America and Germany will never drift apart. We have never been closer. Any tensions are simply due to 'Reibungsverluste durch Nähe'. It is a relationship of grown up kids with their parents.
Topic:
NATO and International Organization
Political Geography:
United States and Europe

6675. From Pre-Bush to Bush to Post-Sep-11-Bush: Changes In Transatlantic Relations —The Particular Case of Germany

Author:
Michaela Hertkorn
Publication Date:
04-2002
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Columbia International Affairs Online
Abstract:
"There is the perception that, while France is a complicated country, but not posing a problem, Germany is not a complicated case, but can pose a problem." "America and Germany will never drift apart. We have never been closer. Any tensions are simply due to 'Reibungsverluste durch Nähe'. It is a relationship of grown up kids with their parents.
Topic:
Foreign Policy, Diplomacy, and International Trade and Finance
Political Geography:
United States and Europe

6676. Composite Indexes of Leading, Coincident, and Lagging Indicators: December 2002

Publication Date:
12-2002
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
The Conference Board
Abstract:
The Conference Board announced today that the U.S. leading index increased by 0.1 percent, the coincident index held steady, and the lagging index decreased 0.3 percent in December.After declining from May through September 2002, the leading index has now improved for three straight months, suggesting a stronger economic recovery in the first half of 2003.The negative contribution from unemployment insurance claims in December was more than offset by the positive contributions from housing permits, average manufacturing workweek, and consumer expectations. The leading index has almost regained its level in May 2002, or when it started to decline.The coincident index, a measure of current economic activity, was flat in each of the last three months of 2002. But it\'s still 0.8 percent above its cyclical low reached in November 2001.
Topic:
Economics and Political Economy
Political Geography:
United States

6677. Composite Indexes of Leading, Coincident, and Lagging Indicators: November 2002

Publication Date:
11-2002
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
The Conference Board
Abstract:
The Conference Board announced today that the U.S. leading index increased by 0.7 percent, the coincident index increased by 0.1 percent, and the lagging index decreased 0.2 percent in November.This month's gain in the leading index is the largest since December of last year. With this increase, the index has now recovered its losses since May 2002, and is nearly 3.6 percent above its most recent trough in March 2001.Strength in the financial sector - coupled with a rebound in consumer expectations and a decline in unemployment insurance claims - contributed to the increase in the leading index this month.The coincident index, a measure of current economic activity, increased modestly in November. Despite this increase, the coincident index remains essentially flat since July 2002, reflecting a sluggish recovery from the last recession.
Topic:
Economics and Political Economy
Political Geography:
United States

6678. Composite Indexes of Leading, Coincident, and Lagging Indicators: October 2002

Publication Date:
10-2002
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
The Conference Board
Abstract:
The Conference Board announced today that the U.S. leading, coincident and lagging indexes all held steady in October.Strong real money growth and lower unemployment claims in October offset weak consumer expectations and faster deliveries, as measured by vendor performance.The coincident index performance continues to suggest a recovering yet fragile economy. Industrial production has shed some of its gains from the first half of the year and nonagricultural employment has essentially remained unchanged. Moderate growth in personal income and manufacturing and trade sales continue to sustain economic growth.Although the leading index has been flat or declining over the past five months, it is only 0.2 percent below its level from April of this year.
Topic:
Economics and Political Economy
Political Geography:
United States

6679. Composite Indexes of Leading, Coincident, and Lagging Indicators: September 2002

Publication Date:
09-2002
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
The Conference Board
Abstract:
The Conference Board announced today that the U.S. leading index decreased 0.2 percent, the coincident index held steady, and the lagging index decreased 0.6 percent in September.The leading index declined for the fourth consecutive month in September. This weakness has been primarily fueled by weak equity markets, a narrowing interest rate spread, and deteriorating consumer expectations.The six-month diffusion index of the leading index, which measures the proportion of components that are rising in a six-month span, is at 50 percent. Over the past several months, this index has continued to deteriorate, which is an indication of spreading weakness among the leading components.The coincident index continues to show a weak economic recovery. Industrial production and nonagricultural payrolls showed mild weakness in September but were offset by modest gains in income and manufacturing and trade sales.
Topic:
Economics and Political Economy
Political Geography:
United States

6680. Composite Indexes of Leading, Coincident, and Lagging Indicators: August 2002

Publication Date:
08-2002
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
The Conference Board
Abstract:
The Conference Board announced today that the U.S. leading index decreased 0.2 percent, the coincident index increased 0.1 percent, and the lagging index decreased 0.1 percent in August.The leading index declined for the third month in a row in August. This was the first time in fifteen months that the six-month growth rate was negative.The weakness in the leading index was widespread, with a majority of the components showing declines.The coincident index continues to indicate a weak economic recovery. Industrial production declined for the first time this year and the other three components showed little improvement.
Topic:
Economics and Political Economy
Political Geography:
United States