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1. Joint public procurement as a tool for European Union industrial policy

Author:
Francesco Nicoli and Roel Beetsma
Publication Date:
07-2024
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
Bruegel
Abstract:
Joint procurement is an important tool that is currently under-exploited at European Union level. It can greatly enhance the effectiveness of public spending in Europe, achieving greater coherence between spending across different countries, exploiting monopsony power, producing economies of scale, reducing downward competition between public authorities, improving the single market and producing a degree of solidarity without resulting in redistribution between EU countries. The EU has already implemented several joint-procurement projects, including for COVID-19 vaccines, gas supplies and ammunition for Ukraine. These previous experiences can work both as a blueprint and as a pilot for larger-scale actions. Joint procurement could be particularly relevant in sectors with substantial economies-of-scale and industry-government ties, such as defence. Despite some degree of political opposition, experimental public opinion studies have shown consistently that joint procurement in such areas can strongly improve public support for EU-level action. Measures that could expand European joint procurement in a politically sustainable way include the use of framework contracts, which allow for ad-hoc commitments tailored to the needs of different EU countries; reporting by countries of their future large public procurement plans as a part of the European Semester so that the European Commission could propose coordinated actions if necessary; and the use of staggered contracting and multiple-award strategies, which can ensure a level playing field among companies of similar market power, promoting market-building and supporting the entry of new competitors.
Topic:
Industrial Policy, Governance, European Union, Macroeconomics, and Public Spending
Political Geography:
Europe

2. An uphill struggle: a long-term perspective on the European public goods debate

Author:
Emmanuel Mourlon-Druol
Publication Date:
10-2024
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
Bruegel
Abstract:
The historical track record of centralisation of public expenditures at European Union level is patchy, and the prospects of agreement on future common spending are not good. However, Russia’s attack on Ukraine, NextGenerationEU, ensuring the stability of the euro and the climate crisis have been cited as justifying a further step-up in public spending at EU level. In recent years, the economic debate over the definition and provision of so-called European public goods (EPGs) has also revived and has put upfront the question of what to spend at EU level, based on an economic interpretation of where spending would be more efficient. To provide a counterpart to the more abstract debate on EPGs, this paper analyses major discussions that have taken place since the beginning of European integration about increasing the EU’s fiscal capacity. It shows how heavily EU agreements on what public expenditure should be centralised have relied on political considerations, in addition to, or instead of, reasoning about economic efficiency. These precedents should inform today’s discussions. In particular, it should be remembered that: (a) very specific historical and political contexts made proposals to centralise expenditure at EU level convincing and successful; (b) the notion of ‘fiscal federalism’ was and is occasionally invoked but rarely put into practice; (c) progress depends on clearly delineated issues; and (d) a political agreement on a ‘non-market definition of the common interest’ remains crucial to any change.
Topic:
Governance, Budget, European Union, Public Spending, and Public Goods
Political Geography:
Europe

3. Defence expenditure and public debt in Greece: A non-linear relationship

Author:
Ioanna Bardakas, Dimitris Doulos, and George Andrew Zombanakis
Publication Date:
03-2023
Content Type:
Journal Article
Journal:
Security and Defence Quarterly
Institution:
War Studies University
Abstract:
The aim of this paper is to consider and evaluate the widely–used argument attributing the growth of the public debt of Greece in recent decades to the country’s defence expenditure. We employ a two-equation model that focuses on the determinants of the military debt and how this has affected the public debt. The source of our military debt data is the Hellenic General Accounting Office, an option taken to cope with confidentiality issues. Finally, we insist on focusing on the expenditure on defence equipment imports rather than the total defence spending that the literature mostly covers, for reasons extensively analysed. Our methodology firstly assumes a linear relationship between military debt and public debt. We solve the system using 3SLS to obtain consistent and efficient estimates to derive interesting policy implications. The employment of a non-linear quadratic form not previously adopted proves to be superior in terms of performance and reveals the complexity of the above relationship. These point to the conclusion that the defence equipment purchases made since the beginning of the eighties have not had a decisive impact on the public debt of Greece. The defence equipment purchases made since the beginning of the eighties represent a very low percentage of the total public debt of Greece. Moreover, these are considered to be an investment activity rather than consumer spending, which has been acknowledged in the literature as the primary cause of Greece’s high indebtedness and the ensuing economic crisis.
Topic:
Security, Public Debt, Public Spending, Economic Security, Defense Spending, and Military
Political Geography:
Europe and Greece

4. The Cyclical Behaviour of Government Spending for Social Protection: Is the OECD Methodology Robust?

Author:
Aleksandr Arsenev, Philipp Heimberger, and Torben Schütz
Publication Date:
12-2023
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (WIIW)
Abstract:
Spending elasticities measure the reaction of different government spending components to the business cycle. They are important inputs for fiscal forecasts, and they are particularly relevant in the context of European Union (EU) fiscal rules, as elasticity estimates enter the estimation of fiscal space. This paper analyses the sensitivity of the estimation method used by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and the European Commission to obtain government spending elasticities by focusing on 11 EU countries in the 1995-2020 period. Our results suggest that spending elasticities are sensitive to small variations in data and model specification. For most EU countries, we reject the assumption that only unemployment spending responds to cyclical variations. While unemployment spending is indeed a major driver of counter-cyclical social spending, other categories of social spending also show signs of responding to the business cycle.
Topic:
Budget, European Union, Finance, Macroeconomics, Public Debt, Social Spending, Public Spending, and Fiscal Deficit
Political Geography:
Europe, Greece, France, Poland, Germany, Denmark, Romania, Spain, Italy, Sweden, Austria, and Czechia

5. It’s Time for a New Deal

Author:
Constantine Michalopoulos
Publication Date:
01-2020
Content Type:
Policy Brief
Institution:
Hellenic Foundation for European and Foreign Policy (ELIAMEP)
Abstract:
The prospects of the Greek economy are mostly good with growth continuing for the fourth straight year. But there is a sense of disappointment, as the recovery has not been very strong and pre-crisis income levels will not be regained for another decade. There are two main reasons for the sluggish recovery: The European creditors have imposed on Greece the requirement to run a primary budget surplus of 3.5% of GDP for five years to ensure that they get repaid—a requirement that constricts growth of the Greek private sector—through heavy taxation of consumers and business. And domestic investment is sluggish, although there are plenty of unutilized resources, such as those provided by the European Structural Funds. There is a need for a new deal with the European Institutions: the Europeans should be more relaxed about getting repaid because of Greece’s much improved access to the European capital markets and be willing to accept a Greek government commitment to a significantly lower primary budget surplus for the next several years. In exchange the Greek government should commit to a commensurate increase in domestic investment through reforms of the banking sector as well as greater public sector investment spending.
Topic:
Government, Financial Crisis, Economy, Economic Growth, and Public Spending
Political Geography:
Europe and Greece

6. The Economic growth and income distribution implications of public spending and tax decisions

Author:
Zsolt Darvas
Publication Date:
10-2020
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Bruegel
Abstract:
The level and composition of public expenditures and revenues both have implications for economic development, as shown by the ‘fiscal multiplier’ and the ‘quality of public finance’ literature. Public finance decisions also influence the distribution of income. Based on a review of the literature, I argue for a fair distribution of income as reflected in low-income inequality, not particularly because of the impact of income inequality on long-term growth (which is a controversial issue), but primarily because income inequality typically implies inequality of opportunity. European Union countries have very diverse public finance structures and different levels of effectiveness and there is room for improvement in the growth and equality impacts in all countries. A general guideline would be that the most effective approach comprises progressive taxes and inheritance taxes, spending on education, health and public infrastructure, and better government effectiveness. At the height of the 2008 global crisis and the subsequent European financial and economic crises, the fiscal consolidation strategies of EU countries largely relied on cutting public investment and social spending (except pensions), which is the opposite of what is suggested in the literature. Better fiscal rules and good fiscal institutions are needed to safeguard growth- and distribution-friendly expenditures in a crisis.
Topic:
Governance, European Union, Inequality, Income Inequality, Tax Systems, Macroeconomics, Economic Development, and Public Spending
Political Geography:
Europe