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12. U.S.-Taiwan Relations in a Sea of Change
- Author:
- Ian Easton, Richard L. Armitage, and Mark Stokes
- Publication Date:
- 03-2018
- Content Type:
- Special Report
- Institution:
- Project 2049 Institute
- Abstract:
- Concerned about a potential drift in the relationship, The Project 2049 Institute conducted a series of working-level dialogues, resulting in the production of a study addressing the medium to long-term challenges that appear likely in Taiwan and across the Taiwan Strait. The objective of this report is to make detailed policy recommendations for Washington as it endeavors to strengthen relations with Taiwan, while at the same time mitigating tensions that are emerging in relations across the Strait.
- Topic:
- International Relations, Foreign Policy, and Bilateral Relations
- Political Geography:
- China, Taiwan, Asia, and United States of America
13. The People’s Republic of China and Burma: Not Only Pauk-Phaw
- Author:
- Bertil Lintner
- Publication Date:
- 05-2017
- Content Type:
- Working Paper
- Institution:
- Project 2049 Institute
- Abstract:
- Pauk-Phaw was a term coined in the 1950s to describe the supposedly friendly and close relationship between the People’s Republic of China (PRC) and Burma. But despite such diplomatic niceties, relations between China and Burma have not always been especially cordial. China, a vast, mainly inland, empire, has always looked for outlets to the sea for its land-locked western and southwestern provinces. China will not easily give up its hard-won access to the Indian Ocean and Burma’s strategic importance to Beijing cannot be overestimated. As China sees it, it cannot simply “hand over” Burma to the West. The country is far too important strategically and economically to the PRC for that to happen.
- Topic:
- Diplomacy, History, Bilateral Relations, and Geopolitics
- Political Geography:
- China, Asia, and Burma
14. The Limits of CCP Liaison Work: Sino-Vietnamese Relations
- Author:
- David Gitter and Elsa Kania
- Publication Date:
- 05-2017
- Content Type:
- Working Paper
- Institution:
- Project 2049 Institute
- Abstract:
- The PRC has fully leveraged its relative receptiveness to communist liaison work, carried out through CCP Central Committee’s International Department (CCP/ID). With Sino-Vietnamese tensions in mind, party-to-party exchanges have provided a more subtle channel for rapprochement. This party-centric dimension of diplomacy between China and Vietnam has received relatively scarce analytical attention thus far but remains active and important elements of the People’s Republic of China’s (PRC) pursuit of its foreign policy interests. CCP diplomacy has focused on appealing to the ruling Communist Party of Vietnam’s (CPV) shared revolutionary heritage and socialist ideology, emphasizing the need to protect the overall special relationship that both countries supposedly enjoy.
- Topic:
- Diplomacy, Bilateral Relations, Socialism, and Chinese Communist Party (CCP)
- Political Geography:
- China, Asia, and Vietnam
15. The Logic of Historical Nihilism: Analyzing the PRC Orthodoxy on the Origins of the Korean War
- Author:
- Miles M. Yu
- Publication Date:
- 06-2017
- Content Type:
- Working Paper
- Institution:
- Project 2049 Institute
- Abstract:
- The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) utilizes its own narrative of the Korean War to fulfill the Party’s strategic interests. Historical evidence, illustrated in this paper, proves that the Korean War began on June 25, 1950 as a result of a long and arduous preparation and agreement among the three protagonists—Joseph Stalin, Mao Zedong, and Kim Il-sung. Today, significant research and historical documents prove the CCP’s creation of a false record of the Korean War, which remains integral to Maoist historical nihilism and employed by the Party to ensure regime survival. Following the 67th anniversary of the beginning of the Korean War, it is necessary to examine the Korean War’s historical legacy and the role of the manipulation of historical narratives in communist China.
- Topic:
- War, History, Political Parties, and Narrative
- Political Geography:
- China, Asia, South Korea, and North Korea
16. Dangerous Truths: The Panchen Lama’s 1962 Report and China’s Broken Promise of Tibetan Autonomy
- Author:
- Matthew Akester
- Publication Date:
- 07-2017
- Content Type:
- Working Paper
- Institution:
- Project 2049 Institute
- Abstract:
- The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has sustained a strategy to manipulate history and subjugate Tibet in order to maintain Party rule. As outlined in this paper, the CCP’s tactics against Tibet can be evidenced through its denial of a report critical of the Party’s policies, authored by the 10th Panchen Lama in 1962. Through an analysis of the historical context surrounding the CCP’s repudiation of this report, and the Party’s resulting efforts to erase the grievances of the Tibetan people while imposing its own narrative, it is clear that the CCP views nationalist sentiment in Tibet as inimical to social stability. To counter that threat, the Party requires the active suppression and political compliance of the Tibetan people. Due to the CCP’s efforts, it is necessary to uncover the true historical record that proves the Party’s attempts to distort history and dominate Tibet for its own strategic ends.
- Topic:
- History, Territorial Disputes, Repression, and Autonomy
- Political Geography:
- China, Asia, and Tibet
17. Negotiating History: The Chinese Communist Party’s 1981
- Author:
- Robert L. Suettinger
- Publication Date:
- 07-2017
- Content Type:
- Working Paper
- Institution:
- Project 2049 Institute
- Abstract:
- Over the decades, leaders of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) have used the control of history to bolster their own political standing, as well as the continued primacy of the CCP in ruling the People’s Republic of China (PRC). This paper illustrates one of the most important cases of CCP historical manipulation through analysis of the political process surrounding the 1981 “Resolution on Certain Questions in the History of Our Party Since the Founding of the People’s Republic of China.” From 1979-1981, Deng Xiaoping used his ability to control what would become the CCP’s official verdict on Mao Zedong’s legacy to supplant Mao’s appointed successor, Hua Guofeng. The ability to control history to maintain the CCP’s political legitimacy has undeniably become a tool of power in the PRC. As the influence of the Chinese government and the CCP increasingly spreads abroad, it is important to understand how the CCP arrived at the “history” it exports.
- Topic:
- Politics, Geopolitics, History, Chinese Communist Party (CCP), and Narrative
- Political Geography:
- China and Asia
18. The Framework for a U.S.-Japan Free Trade Agreement
- Author:
- Derek M. Scissors and Dan Blumenthal
- Publication Date:
- 09-2017
- Content Type:
- Working Paper
- Institution:
- Project 2049 Institute
- Abstract:
- The United States and Japan can create a bilateral free trade and investment agreement that both sides will sign and ratify. While the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) initially appeared to qualify as the new approach the U.S., Japan, and East Asia needed. It failed to sufficiently promote free markets and address concerns to generate enough support from traditional protectionist opponents in the United States. Nonetheless, the TPP did clarify the value of a directly relatied initiative: a U.S.-Japan bilateral agreement. This monograph serves to provide a framework for a U.S.-Japan Free Trade Agreement (FTA) and offers an outline for what such an agreement should look like in order to work both economically and in terms of domestic politics.
- Topic:
- Economics, Treaties and Agreements, Domestic Politics, Investment, and Free Trade
- Political Geography:
- Japan, Asia, North America, and United States of America
19. Risk and Resiliency: China’s Emerging Air Base Strike Threat
- Author:
- Ian Easton
- Publication Date:
- 11-2017
- Content Type:
- Working Paper
- Institution:
- Project 2049 Institute
- Abstract:
- Given the centrality of air power for U.S. power projection in the Western Pacific, the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) has focused on prioritizing the development of asymmetric capabilities to target American air superiority where it is weakest―on the ground. China’s military modernization program is closely associated with a number of maturing precision strike capabilities designed for attacking air bases. This paper seeks to provide an overview of the evolving airpower challenge that the United States faces in the Western Pacific and beyond. It explores Chinese military writings on air base strike operations, evaluates the current trajectory of the PLA’s precision strike capabilities, and concludes with recommendations for how American airpower in Asia can be more resilient against threats.
- Topic:
- Power Politics, Weapons, Risk, Strategic Competition, and Resilience
- Political Geography:
- China, Asia, North America, and United States of America
20. Strategic Standoff: The U.S.-China Rivalry and Taiwan
- Author:
- Ian Easton
- Publication Date:
- 03-2016
- Content Type:
- Working Paper
- Institution:
- Project 2049 Institute
- Abstract:
- The CCP views Taiwan as a grave threat to its grip on power. Consequently, the People’s Liberation Army (PLA), which is the armed wing of the CCP, considers the invasion of Taiwan to be its most critical mission. Getting the strategic competition with China right will ultimately help America secure unprecedented levels of prosperity, freedom, and stability for all Pacific nations by the century’s midpoint.
- Topic:
- Security, Bilateral Relations, Geopolitics, and Strategic Competition
- Political Geography:
- China, Taiwan, Asia, North America, and United States of America