Author: Oxford Analytica / Political Geography: Eastern Europe

Author:: Oxford Analytica
Publication Date:: 01-2000
Content Type:: Policy Brief
Institution:: Oxford Analytica
Abstract:: Gone are the days when the large investment banks defined their global reach in terms of the emerging markets of Eastern Europe. Indeed, the emerging markets label is fading away in favour of new 'global' buzzwords. However, just one year on from the emerging market crisis that threatened the bull of the world financial market, is this rethinking of the emerging markets premature?
Topic:: Economics and Emerging Markets
Political Geography:: Eastern Europe

Author:: Oxford Analytica
Publication Date:: 12-1999
Content Type:: Policy Brief
Institution:: Oxford Analytica
Abstract:: Croatia is preparing for two elections—parliamentary polls on January 3 and, following the recent death of President Franjo Tudjman, a presidential contest on January 24. Thus, the population has an opportunity to choose real change, and to set Croatia firmly on the path of economic transformation and European integration, after a period of stilted political and economic development, marked by cronyism, under Tudjman. However, this scenario is by no means certain.
Topic:: Government and Politics
Political Geography:: United States and Eastern Europe

Author:: Oxford Analytica
Publication Date:: 11-1999
Content Type:: Policy Brief
Institution:: Oxford Analytica
Abstract:: Despite Hanoi's repeated assertions of its commitment to reform, the gap between the government's stated policies and what happens on the ground remains as wide as ever. The root of this problem is the diffusion of power throughout the multiple layers of government and bureaucracy. There are no quick-fix solutions which will centralise political power. A combination of continued global economic integration and exposure to outside ideas, allied with the government's own initiatives in areas such as administrative reform, provide the most likely route to strengthening the central administration's power.
Topic:: Government
Political Geography:: Eastern Europe, Soviet Union, and Southeast Asia

Author:: Oxford Analytica
Publication Date:: 10-1999
Content Type:: Policy Brief
Institution:: Oxford Analytica
Abstract:: Daily demonstrations calling for Yugoslav President Slobodan Milosevic to resign have, over recent weeks, been poorly attended. In part this reflects the opposition parties' failure to resolve their differences. This has led to growing scepticism in the West about the Serbian people's ability to bring about political change. In these circumstances, the international community may alter its policy towards the country. However, greater efforts to support the democratic opposition could prove counter-productive in the short-to-medium term due to anti-Western sentiment in the aftermath of the NATO air campaign. In the longer term the West will need to reconsider its policy towards the Balkans if it wants to play a constructive role in regional democratisation.
Topic:: International Relations, NATO, Democratization, and Politics
Political Geography:: Mongolia, Eastern Europe, Serbia, and Balkans

Author:: Oxford Analytica
Publication Date:: 07-1999
Content Type:: Policy Brief
Institution:: Oxford Analytica
Abstract:: The success of NATO in forcing the Serbian army to quit Kosovo has led some western leaders, notably the UK Prime Minister Tony Blair, to espouse a new 'moral' emphasis in foreign policy. While a complete abandonment of self–interest for ethics can be dismissed, there are important new factors affecting the conduct of international affairs, which vary in regional applicability.
Topic:: Foreign Policy, NATO, and International Affairs
Political Geography:: Eastern Europe, Kosovo, and Serbia

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