Author: Jonathan Spyer / Political Geography: Middle East

Author:: Jonathan Spyer
Publication Date:: 07-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: From northwest Iraq to Tripoli on Libya’s African coast, Turkey is flexing its muscles – without the slightest nod to the supposedly ‘pro-Western’ and ‘pro-NATO’ orientation that Turkey’s Western apologists like to recall.
Topic:: Military Strategy, Conflict, Regionalism, Strategic Stability, and Destabilization
Political Geography:: Europe, Turkey, Middle East, and Asia

Author:: Jonathan Spyer
Publication Date:: 06-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: A four-way contest under way between the Assad regime, Russian interests, Iranian interests, and unreconciled former rebels.
Topic:: Security, Conflict, Regionalism, and Strategic Interests
Political Geography:: Russia, Europe, Iran, Middle East, and Syria

Author:: Jonathan Spyer
Publication Date:: 06-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: Bashar Assad is not about to fall, But economic deterioration, regime infighting, sanctions and unrest are combining to place his regime under renewed, severe pressure
Topic:: Economics, Fragile/Failed State, Governance, Authoritarianism, and Leadership
Political Geography:: Middle East and Syria

Author:: Jonathan Spyer
Publication Date:: 05-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: A moribund terrorist group, the PFLP, is experiencing a revival and launching terror attacks, with help from Iran.
Topic:: Terrorism, Military Strategy, Territorial Disputes, and Conflict
Political Geography:: Iran, Middle East, Israel, and Palestine

Author:: Jonathan Spyer
Publication Date:: 05-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: There is a discrepancy between the stated goal – the expulsion of Iran from Syria – and the means being employed by Israel to achieve it.
Topic:: Military Strategy, Conflict, Strategic Stability, Strategic Interests, and Intervention
Political Geography:: Iran, Middle East, Israel, and Syria

Author:: Jonathan Spyer
Publication Date:: 05-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: The virus has no political preferences, and its generalized assault has led to cooperation in some arenas between bitter rivals.
Topic:: Governance, Social Movement, Protests, Pandemic, and COVID-19
Political Geography:: Middle East and Lebanon

Author:: Jonathan Spyer
Publication Date:: 04-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: The ‘ghost caliphate’ – Sunni Arab insurgency – is likely to persist in the remote, poor and sparsely governed areas of Syria and Iraq.
Topic:: Terrorism, ISIS, Pandemic, and COVID-19
Political Geography:: Middle East

Author:: Jonathan Spyer
Publication Date:: 03-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: The Iranian regime’s response to the coronavirus crisis has been erratic and flailing.
Topic:: Governance, Leadership, Public Health, Pandemic, and COVID-19
Political Geography:: Iran and Middle East

Author:: Jonathan Spyer
Publication Date:: 03-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: Russia’s desire to woo Turkey from the West likely to prevent all-out war.
Topic:: Military Strategy, Hegemony, Conflict, and Intervention
Political Geography:: Russia, Europe, Turkey, Middle East, and Syria

Author:: Jonathan Spyer
Publication Date:: 03-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: Trump’s peace plan calls attention to the fact that the Arab bloc that championed the Palestinian cause has collapsed.
Topic:: Diplomacy, Leadership, Conflict, and Peace
Political Geography:: Middle East, Israel, and Palestine

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